Result
4:1
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 37
- Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (392/480) | 85% (389/457) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (392/480) | 85% (389/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/60) | 49% (27/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (123/170) | 65% (50/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', de Bie J. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Druijf F. ⚽, Rijkhoff J. (A),
- 31', 2 - 0, Dors M. ⚽, Ghogli I. (A),
- 39', de Haan M. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, van Asten R. ⚽, Yoon D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Yoon D. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
- 46', Rossi N. ↓, Pynadath J. ↑,
- 46', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽, el Dahri H. (A),
- 65', de Bie J. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
- 65', Ghogli I. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 65', Sunderland L. ↓, Bae S. ↑,
- 74', Rijkhoff J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 74', Dors M. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 1, Jacobs Ja. ⚽, de Nijs O. (A),
- 85', van Vianen D. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almere City
43.6% | Draw
25.6% | Dordrecht
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almere City's form might have worsened.Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dordrecht's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dordrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Almere City - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.76) |
3.63 ↓
(4.1) |
3.03 ↓
(3.71) |
7.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Almere City - Dordrecht?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Almere City might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Dordrecht: Hardley B.
(Muscle Injury)
Hilton J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Artic T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Dordrecht?
Almere City has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Almere City?
Dordrecht has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Dordrecht were as follows:
03.11.2025
Dordrecht
-
Almere City
0:1
03.03.2023
Dordrecht
-
Almere City
0:1
13.11.2022
Almere City
-
Dordrecht
2:1
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
