Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 36
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (311/399) | 83% (427/512) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (311/399) | 83% (427/512) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (38/80) | 49% (31/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (68/108) | 71% (115/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, El Allouchi M. ⚽, Twigt C. (A),
- 37', Hoogma J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', de Nijs O. ↓, Ghogli I. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, van Loon P. ⚽, Haen D. (A),
- 60', Huisman B. ↓, Druijf F. ↑,
- 60', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
- 60', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
- 63', Takahashi N. ↓, Bijleveld T. ↑,
- 67', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽, Jacobs Ja. (A),
- 76', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 85', Verheydt T. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
- 85', Besselink G. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
- 85', van Loon P. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Willem II
46% | Draw
24.4% | Almere City
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Willem II's performance.Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almere City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Willem II that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Willem II - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.37) |
3.81 ↑
(3.7) |
3.17 ↑
(2.5) |
7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Willem II - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Willem II will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Schuurman J.
(Knock)
Tjoe a On N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Almere City?
Willem II has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Willem II?
Almere City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Almere City were as follows:
22.08.2025
Almere City
-
Willem II
0:1
29.03.2025
Willem II
-
Almere City
0:2
04.10.2024
Almere City
-
Willem II
0:1
15.01.2023
Almere City
-
Willem II
1:0
21.10.2022
Willem II
-
Almere City
1:1
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
