Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 22
- Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Finland | MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Sportkanalen |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (400/455) | 87% (365/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (400/455) | 87% (365/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (26/36) | 61% (38/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (68/92) | 72% (75/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Chirino D. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Leo Baptistao ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
- 36', Baba I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 1, Hernandez Y. ⚽, Soriano M. (A),
- 50', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
- 56', Horta A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 58', Comas A. 🟨,
- 70', Leo Baptistao ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
- 70', Embarba A. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
- 71', Stoichkov ↓, Mella D. ↑,
- 71', Eddahchouri Z. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
- 76', Monte N. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 2, Mulattieri S. ⚽, Hernandez Y. (A),
- 83', Cruz Luismi ↓, Villares D. ↑,
- 83', Jurado J. ↓, Patino C. ↑,
- 84', Baba I. ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 84', Centelles A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
- 86', Mulattieri S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Soriano M. ↓, Carillo N. ↑,
- 90+5', Arribas S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Almería
47.4% | Draw
27.1% | Deportivo La Coruña
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Deportivo La Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Almería - Deportivo La Coruña Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.91) |
3.47 ↓
(3.48) |
3.63 ↓
(3.76) |
6.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Almería - Deportivo La Coruña?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Deportivo will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 46.1% – 91.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Deportivo (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 3 - 75%). Deportivo (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Almería will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Almería: Bonini F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Chumi
(Knock)
Fidel Cedillo Segura P.
(Injury)
Lopy D.
(Muscle Injury)
Melamed N.
(Muscle Injury)
Robertone L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D.
(Injury)
Navarro X.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Almería won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Deportivo La Coruña?
Almería has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Coruña won against Almería?
Deportivo La Coruña has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Deportivo La Coruña were as follows:
04.10.2025
Deportivo La Coruña
-
Almería
1:1
09.02.2025
Deportivo La Coruña
-
Almería
3:1
17.11.2024
Almería
-
Deportivo La Coruña
2:1
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 2 | Castellon | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 45:26 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 52:39 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | Malaga | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cordoba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Gijon | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Burgos CF | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | Eibar | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Cadiz CF | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 34 |
| 14 | Albacete | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Leganes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 32 |
| 17 | Andorra | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Huesca | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 30 |
| 19 | Valladolid | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
