Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        04/10/2025 at  10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  LaLiga2 - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Argentina | Dsports 9 | 
|  Canada | TSN+ | 
|  Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go | 
|  Ecuador | DSports 9 | 
|  France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free | 
|  India | FanCode, FanCode | 
|  Mexico | Sky Sport | 
|  North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte | 
|  Peru | DSports 9 | 
|  South-america | DGO Latin America | 
|  Spain | DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ | 
|  Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine | 
|  Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.79 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 47% | 53% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 88% (384/437) | 89% (459/517) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.79 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.62 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 9 | 1 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 12 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 30 | 19 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 8 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 88% (384/437) | 89% (459/517) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 77% (40/52) | 53% (30/57) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 72% (62/86) | 74% (99/134) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 29% (2/7) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.78 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 13 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 75% (9/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 40 | 33 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 11 | 17 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 9 | 18 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.97 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.38 | -0.03 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Cruz Luismi 🟨, 
- 23', 0 - 1, Bonini F. ⚽, Melamed N. (A), 
- 26', Hidalgo A. 🟨, 
- 28', Munoz A. 🟨, 
- 43', Navarro X. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Dzodic S. 🟨, 
- 55', Patino C. ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑, 
- 59', Puigmal A. ↓, Luna M. ↑, 
- 60', Leo Baptistao ↓, Soko P. ↑, 
- 62', 1 - 1, Hernandez Y. ⚽, Eddahchouri Z. (A), 
- 64', Navarro X. ↓, Noubi L. ↑, 
- 64', Mulattieri S. ↓, Stoichkov ↑, 
- 67', Horta A. ↓, Baba I. ↑, 
- 67', Dzodic S. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑, 
- 71', Baba I. 🟨, 
- 88', Villares D. ↓, Jurado J. ↑, 
- 88', Cruz Luismi ↓, Herrera C. ↑, 
- 89', Melamed N. ↓, Perovic M. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                  
                    
                        Highlights
                    
                    
					
                        
                           
                            
                                
https://tinyurl.com/2tcd29t4
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Deportivo La Coruña 46.4%
 | Draw 28.5%
 | Almería 25.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Deportivo La Coruña - Almería Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.03 ↓ (2.05)
 | 3.29 ↓ (3.44)
 | 3.74 ↑ (3.69)
 | 6.5% (5.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña - Almería?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Deportivo La Coruña will win 
                    (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo La Coruña will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 1.
- Deportivo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Almería has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Deportivo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Deportivo: Escudero S.
(Muscle Injury)
Mella D.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Almería: Embarba A.
(Red Card)
Lopy D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Deportivo: Gragera J.
(Injury)
Jurado J.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Coruña won against Almería?
                    
                    
                        
                            Deportivo La Coruña has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Deportivo La Coruña?
                    
                    
                        
                             Almería has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Coruña - Almería were as follows:
                                                        
                                09.02.2025 
                                Deportivo La Coruña 
                                - 
                                Almería 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                17.11.2024 
                                Almería 
                                - 
                                Deportivo La Coruña 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Almería                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Racing Santander | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 22 | 
| 2 | Las Palmas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 19 | 
| 3 | Almeria | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:17 | 3 | 19 | 
| 4 | Cadiz CF | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 19 | 
| 5 | Burgos CF | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 | 
| 6 | Gijon | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 | 
| 7 | Ceuta | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 18 | 
| 8 | Dep. La Coruna | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Valladolid | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 | 
| 10 | Cordoba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 | 
| 11 | Leganes | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 15 | 
| 12 | Andorra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 | 
| 13 | Malaga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 | 
| 14 | Huesca | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 | 
| 15 | Eibar | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 | 
| 16 | Albacete | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 | 
| 17 | Castellon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | 
| 18 | Cultural Leonesa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | 
| 19 | Granada CF | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 | 
| 20 | Real Sociedad B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 | 
| 21 | Mirandes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 | 
| 22 | Zaragoza | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 | 
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