Almería vs Deportivo La Coruña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 22
  • Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
austriaAustriaDAZN
chileChileDirecTV Sports
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
finlandFinlandMTV Urheilu 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Sportkanalen
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.261.77
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
36
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
22
Passes
88% (400/455)87% (365/418)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
1.261.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.28
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
58
Blocked shots
47
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
611
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1225
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1716
Passes
88% (400/455)87% (365/418)
Long passes
72% (26/36)61% (38/62)
Passes in final third
74% (68/92)72% (75/104)
Crosses
22% (4/18)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.01
Throw ins
1118
Fouls
1617
Tackles
62% (8/13)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
1918
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
2.280.44
Goals prevented
0.28-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Chirino D. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Leo Baptistao , Embarba A. (A),
  • 36', Baba I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Hernandez Y. , Soriano M. (A),
  • 50', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
  • 56', Horta A. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 58', Comas A. 🟨,
  • 70', Leo Baptistao , de la Fuente M. ,
  • 70', Embarba A. , Melamed N. ,
  • 71', Stoichkov , Mella D. ,
  • 71', Eddahchouri Z. , Mulattieri S. ,
  • 76', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Mulattieri S. , Hernandez Y. (A),
  • 83', Cruz Luismi , Villares D. ,
  • 83', Jurado J. , Patino C. ,
  • 84', Baba I. , Thalys ,
  • 84', Centelles A. , Morcillo J. ,
  • 86', Mulattieri S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Soriano M. , Carillo N. ,
  • 90+5', Arribas S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almería
47.4%
Draw
27.1%
Deportivo La Coruña
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 26.7% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.6% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Deportivo La Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Almería - Deportivo La Coruña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.91)
    3.47
    (3.48)
    3.63
    (3.76)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Almería - Deportivo La Coruña?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Deportivo will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 46.1%91.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Deportivo (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almería will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 3 - 75%). Deportivo (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Almería will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Almería: Bonini F. (Hamstring Injury) Chumi (Knock) Fidel Cedillo Segura P. (Injury) Lopy D. (Muscle Injury) Melamed N. (Muscle Injury) Robertone L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D. (Injury) Navarro X. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Almería won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Deportivo La Coruña were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Almería 1:1
    09.02.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Almería 3:1
    17.11.2024 Almería - Deportivo La Coruña 2:1
    Latest results of Almería
    10.01.2026 Mirandés - Almería 2:2
    03.01.2026 Almería - Granada 3:2
    21.12.2025 Málaga - Almería 2:1
    14.12.2025 Almería - Burgos 1:2
    06.12.2025 FC Andorra - Almería 1:2
    Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander372161075:552069
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Castellon3818101065:481764
    5Malaga381891166:491763
    6Las Palmas371712849:311863
    7Burgos CF3717101044:331161
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Gijon371571550:47352
    12Ceuta371491444:57-1351
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B371181846:54-841
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Huesca37991937:55-1836
    20Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation