Leganés vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
22/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.480.71
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
84% (373/446)80% (265/332)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
2.480.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.052.07
Total shots
227
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
359
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
178
Passes
84% (373/446)80% (265/332)
Long passes
35% (17/49)54% (34/63)
Passes in final third
72% (95/132)56% (40/72)
Crosses
20% (6/30)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.71
Throw-ins
2313
Fouls
817
Tackles
61% (11/18)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5351
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
19
xGOT faced
2.072.05
Goals prevented
-0.932.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Embarba A. , Centelles A. (A),
  • 25', Baba I. 🟨,
  • 34', Centelles A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Centelles A. , Dzodic S. ,
  • 46', Baba I. , Munoz A. ,
  • 50', 0 - 2, Chirino D. , Arribas S. (A),
  • 54', Aguilar Lopez G. 🟨,
  • 57', Aguilar Lopez G. , Melero G. ,
  • 58', Garcia D. , de la Fuente M. ,
  • 60', Pena R. , Lopez R. ,
  • 64', Thalys , Soko P. ,
  • 78', Arribas S. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 82', Embarba A. 🟨,
  • 83', Embarba A. , Leo Baptistao ,
  • 84', Saenz J. , Figueredo S. ,
  • 84', Garcia N. , Pauwels B. ,
  • 88', Chirino D. 🟨,
  • 90', 0 - 3, Puigmal A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leganés
36.9%
Draw
29.9%
Almería
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 28.7% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 30.6% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Leganés - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.5)
    3.18
    (3.29)
    2.83
    (2.82)
    5.6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leganés - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Almería will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.
    • Leganés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Almería is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Leganés has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Leganés: Franquesa E. (Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury) de la Fuente M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury) Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Lopy D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Leo Baptistao (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leganés - Almería were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Almería - Leganés 2:3
    Latest results of Leganés
    16.11.2025 Ceuta - Leganés 1:2
    08.11.2025 Real Sociedad B - Leganés 2:1
    01.11.2025 Leganés - Burgos 1:2
    29.10.2025 Azuaga - Leganés 1:4
    25.10.2025 Eibar - Leganés 0:0
    Latest results of Almería
    16.11.2025 Almería - Cádiz 3:0
    01.11.2025 Almería - Eibar 3:1
    29.10.2025 Lorca Deportiva - Almería 0:2
    26.10.2025 Almería - Castellón 1:0
    19.10.2025 Córdoba - Almería 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander30185762:402259
    2Dep. La Coruna30157846:341252
    3Almeria30157856:421452
    4Malaga30156949:371251
    5Castellon30147949:371249
    6Las Palmas301212639:241548
    7Burgos CF30138932:26647
    8Gijon301361142:38445
    9Ceuta301351237:45-844
    10Eibar301191032:30242
    11Cordoba301181141:43-241
    12Real Sociedad B301171244:41340
    13Andorra301091137:41-439
    14Albacete301091135:40-539
    15Cadiz CF301081231:36-538
    16Granada CF308121035:34136
    17Valladolid30991235:43-836
    18Leganes308101231:32-134
    19Huesca30871529:42-1331
    20Zaragoza30791426:41-1530
    21Cultural Leonesa30761728:49-2127
    22Mirandes30661828:49-2124

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation