Almería vs Leganés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Copa del Rey Almería - Leganés
Result
2:3
15/01/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hungaryHungarySport 2
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
portugalPortugalSport TV6
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainM+ Copa Del Rey, Movistar Plus+ 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
worldWorldDirecTV Sports, Disney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.862.11
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
916
Offsides
21
Fouls
169
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1914
Touches in the Opposition Box
2623
Passes
87% (433/497)82% (384/466)
Passes in the final third
66% (62/94)57% (58/101)
Crosses
21% (3/14)40% (6/15)
Tackles
70% (7/10)63% (10/16)
Clearances Total
2522
Interceptions
1313

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Altimira A. ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Suarez L. , Arribas S. (A),
  • 43', Cisse S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 2 - 1, Lazaro , Pubill M. (A),
  • 64', Cisse S. , Cruz J. ,
  • 64', Tapia R. , Neyou Y. ,
  • 69', Munir El Haddadi , Raba D. ,
  • 69', Brasanac D. , de la Fuente M. ,
  • 72', Puigmal A. , Pozo A. ,
  • 72', Lazaro , Melamed N. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, de la Fuente M. (Pen),
  • 78', Centelles A. 🟨,
  • 81', Raba D. 🟨,
  • 82', Melero G. , Robertone L. ,
  • 82', Arribas S. , Leo Baptistao ,
  • 87', 2 - 3, Garcia D. , Cruz J. (A),
  • 90', Garcia D. , Chicco J. ,
  • 90', Pubill M. , Perovic M. ,
  • 90+5', Nastasic M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Almería
49.8%
Draw
26.9%
Leganés
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 28.1% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 27.8% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almería's performance.
  • Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leganés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almería that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Almería - Leganés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.16)
    3.45
    (3.34)
    4
    (3.31)
    7.6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Almería - Leganés?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 1.
    • Almería in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Leganés is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Almería could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Almería is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Almería won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    Latest results of Almería
    12.01.2025 Córdoba - Almería 0:3
    04.01.2025 Almería - Sevilla 4:1
    22.12.2024 Almería - Cádiz 1:1
    18.12.2024 Ferrol - Almería 1:4
    13.12.2024 Almería - Mirandés 1:0
    Latest results of Leganés
    11.01.2025 Espanyol - Leganés 1:1
    05.01.2025 Cartagena - Leganés 1:2
    22.12.2024 Leganés - Villarreal 2:5
    15.12.2024 Barcelona - Leganés 0:1
    08.12.2024 Leganés - Real Sociedad 0:3
    Draw
    2025/26

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