Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 34
- Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (461/535) | 69% (172/249) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (461/535) | 69% (172/249) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (37/56) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (115/164) | 56% (35/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Melero G. ⚽, Marvel (A),
- 21', Figueredo S. 🟨,
- 29', Asue L. ↓, Duk ↑,
- 31', 1 - 1, Arribas S. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 43', Cisse S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
- 63', Puigmal A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
- 63', Embarba A. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
- 65', Rodrigo Ely 🟨,
- 67', Garcia D. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
- 67', Baba I. ↓, Dzodic S. ↑,
- 77', Figueredo S. ↓, Leiva M. ↑,
- 77', Melero G. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
- 78', de la Fuente M. ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 78', Arribas S. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
- 82', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Melamed N. ⚽, Lopy D. (A),
- 90+3', Melamed N. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mpu27u96
Chances of winning
Almería
56.8% | Draw
24.6% | Leganés
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Almería - Leganés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.71) |
3.84 ↓
(3.87) |
5.19 ↑
(4.61) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Almería - Leganés?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Almería (1.15) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Almería (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Almería will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Leganés (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Almería is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Almería: Gui Guedes
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Leganés: Pena R.
(Muscle Injury)
Pulido R.
(Knee Injury)
Saenz J.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Leganés?
Almería has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Almería?
Leganés has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Leganés were as follows:
22.11.2025
Leganés
-
Almería
0:3
15.01.2025
Almería
-
Leganés
2:3
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 67:53 | 14 | 62 |
| 2 | Almeria | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 61 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:37 | 15 | 60 |
| 4 | Las Palmas | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:28 | 17 | 57 |
| 5 | Castellon | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:41 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Malaga | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:41 | 15 | 57 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:29 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Eibar | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 54 |
| 9 | Gijon | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 45:43 | 2 | 49 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:55 | -13 | 48 |
| 11 | Andorra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:47 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 45 |
| 13 | Albacete | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:45 | -2 | 44 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:41 | 2 | 42 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 45:50 | -5 | 40 |
| 16 | Leganes | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:47 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 19 | Zaragoza | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 20 | Huesca | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 32 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:54 | -19 | 32 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31:55 | -24 | 32 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
