Leganés vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes).

LaLiga2 - Round 15
Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.48	0.71
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
22	7
Shots on target
10	4
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
5	0
Passes
84% (373/446)	80% (265/332)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.05	2.07
Total shots
22	7
Shots on target
10	4
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
14	4
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
5	0
Touches in opposition box
35	9
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
17	8
Passes
84% (373/446)	80% (265/332)
Long passes
35% (17/49)	54% (34/63)
Passes in final third
72% (95/132)	56% (40/72)
Crosses
20% (6/30)	0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	0.71
Throw-ins
23	13
Fouls
8	17
Tackles
61% (11/18)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
53	51
Clearances
13	35
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	9
xGOT faced
2.07	2.05
Goals prevented
-0.93	2.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Embarba A. ⚽, Centelles A. (A),
25', Baba I. 🟨,
34', Centelles A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Centelles A. ↓, Dzodic S. ↑,
46', Baba I. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Chirino D. ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
54', Aguilar Lopez G. 🟨,
57', Aguilar Lopez G. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
58', Garcia D. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
60', Pena R. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
64', Thalys ↓, Soko P. ↑,
78', Arribas S. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
82', Embarba A. 🟨,
83', Embarba A. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
84', Saenz J. ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
84', Garcia N. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
88', Chirino D. 🟨,
90', 0 - 3, Puigmal A. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Leganés
36.9%

Draw
29.9%

Almería
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

30.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Leganés - Almería Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.5)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)	2.83 ↑ (2.82)	5.6% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Leganés - Almería?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Almería will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.
Leganés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Almería is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Leganés has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Leganés: Franquesa E. (Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury) de la Fuente M. (Injury)
There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury) Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Lopy D. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Almería: Leo Baptistao (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Almería?

Leganés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Leganés?

Almería has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leganés - Almería were as follows:

15.01.2025 Almería - Leganés 2:3

Latest results of Leganés

16.11.2025 Ceuta - Leganés 1:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Real Sociedad B - Leganés 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Leganés - Burgos 1:2 ✺

29.10.2025 Azuaga - Leganés 1:4 ✺

25.10.2025 Eibar - Leganés 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Almería

16.11.2025 Almería - Cádiz 3:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Almería - Eibar 3:1 ✺

29.10.2025 Lorca Deportiva - Almería 0:2 ✺

26.10.2025 Almería - Castellón 1:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Córdoba - Almería 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	27	15	5	7	53:35	18	50
2	Castellon	27	14	7	6	45:26	19	49
3	Almeria	27	14	6	7	52:39	13	48
4	Dep. La Coruna	27	13	7	7	41:29	12	46
5	Malaga	27	13	5	9	40:31	9	44
6	Las Palmas	27	10	12	5	31:22	9	42
7	Cordoba	27	11	8	8	37:33	4	41
8	Gijon	27	12	5	10	38:36	2	41
9	Ceuta	27	12	5	10	35:39	-4	41
10	Burgos CF	27	11	7	9	29:26	3	40
11	Eibar	27	9	8	10	28:29	-1	35
12	Cadiz CF	27	9	8	10	28:32	-4	35
13	Real Sociedad B	27	9	7	11	36:36	0	34
14	Albacete	27	9	7	11	32:38	-6	34
15	Leganes	27	8	9	10	29:28	1	33
16	Granada CF	27	7	11	9	32:32	0	32
17	Andorra	27	8	8	11	31:39	-8	32
18	Huesca	27	8	6	13	26:36	-10	30
19	Valladolid	27	7	8	12	28:38	-10	29
20	Cultural Leonesa	27	7	6	14	27:41	-14	27
21	Mirandes	27	6	6	15	28:44	-16	24
22	Zaragoza	27	5	9	13	23:40	-17	24

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation