Mirandés vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.292.31
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
37
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
47
Passes
73% (211/288)84% (415/492)
Yellow cards
42
Expected goals (xG)
1.292.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.472.26
Total shots
918
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
38
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
49
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1016
Passes
73% (211/288)84% (415/492)
Long passes
35% (19/54)52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
53% (42/80)76% (122/160)
Crosses
13% (2/16)27% (9/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.05
Throw ins
1717
Fouls
1610
Tackles
33% (5/15)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
2714
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
2.262.47
Goals prevented
0.260.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ,
  • 29', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 30', Fernandez C. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Munoz A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Hernandez J. , El Jebari S. (A),
  • 67', Hernandez J. , Cardero A. ,
  • 71', Cardero A. 🟨,
  • 71', Leo Baptistao , Puigmal A. ,
  • 71', Chirino D. , Luna M. ,
  • 71', Dzodic S. , Horta A. ,
  • 76', El Jebari S. , Mari A. ,
  • 76', Fernandez C. , Tamarit T. ,
  • 80', Centelles A. , Perovic M. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Arribas S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 87', Novoa Ramos H. , Cabello J. ,
  • 90+1', Helguera T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Arribas S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Medrano F. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/35wuzbe2

Chances of winning


Mirandés
28.8%
Draw
28.1%
Almería
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 27.1% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 27.2% 46%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Mirandés - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (3.49)
    3.32
    (3.48)
    2.18
    (2.06)
    6.9%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mirandés - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Almería will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 49.9%90.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 20%). Almería (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Mirandés (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Mirandés (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Almería (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 0.
    • Mirandés has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Almería has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Almería might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Mirandés: Clua S. (Injury) Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Pascual M. (Yellow Cards) Petit G. (Red Card) Postigo S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Almería: Bonini F. (Hamstring Injury) Chumi (Knock) Horta A. (Illness) Melamed N. (Muscle Injury) Soko P. (International duty) Thalys (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Fidel Cedillo Segura P. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirandés - Almería were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Mirandés - Almería 0:0
    13.12.2024 Almería - Mirandés 1:0
    Latest results of Mirandés
    02.01.2026 Eibar - Mirandés 2:1
    21.12.2025 Mirandés - Córdoba 1:2
    15.12.2025 Castellón - Mirandés 3:1
    08.12.2025 Las Palmas - Mirandés 0:0
    Latest results of Almería
    03.01.2026 Almería - Granada 3:2
    21.12.2025 Málaga - Almería 2:1
    14.12.2025 Almería - Burgos 1:2
    06.12.2025 FC Andorra - Almería 1:2
    03.12.2025 Eldense - Almería 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation