Almería vs Sporting de Gijón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Almería - Sporting de Gijón
Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 8
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.08
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
249
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
90% (560/623)77% (229/298)
Yellow Cards
47
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.451.02
Total shots
249
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3920
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
715
Passes
90% (560/623)77% (229/298)
Long passes
51% (22/43)33% (20/60)
Passes in final third
87% (210/242)64% (53/83)
Crosses
19% (6/32)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.74
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
157
Tackles
64% (7/11)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
821
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
1.022.45
Goals prevented
0.020.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Campos G. , Otero J. (A),
  • 25', Lopy D. , Gui Guedes ,
  • 45+4', Rosas G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Melamed N. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 46', Leo Baptistao , Thalys ,
  • 51', Rosas G. 🟨,
  • 51', Otero J. 🟨,
  • 52', Corredera A. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Embarba A. , Puigmal A. (A),
  • 57', Dubasin J. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 58', Gelabert Pina C. , Martin N. ,
  • 68', Campos G. , Garcia P. ,
  • 68', Smith J. , Cortes O. ,
  • 69', Baba I. , Horta A. ,
  • 75', Thalys 🟨,
  • 76', Horta A. 🟨,
  • 79', Vazquez P. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Arribas S. , Puigmal A. (A),
  • 88', Perrin L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Sanchez D. , Caicedo J. ,
  • 90+5', Munoz A. , Centelles A. ,
  • 90+8', Bonini F. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Corredera A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdday4ye

Chances of winning


Almería
46.1%
Draw
27.2%
Sporting de Gijón
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 24% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 25.9% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almería's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting de Gijón's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Almería - Sporting de Gijón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.7)
    3.68
    (4)
    3.73
    (4.91)
    -1.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Almería - Sporting de Gijón?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Coundoul A. (Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almería won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Almería 1:1
    31.08.2024 Almería - Sporting de Gijón 1:1
    Latest results of Almería
    13.09.2025 Valladolid - Almería 3:1
    29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna743016:51115
    2Cadiz CF74309:5415
    3Andorra742112:8414
    4Racing Santander741218:14413
    5Burgos CF733112:7512
    6Eibar732210:6411
    7Valladolid73228:5311
    8Las Palmas73227:5211
    9Almeria732213:13011
    10Huesca73136:9-310
    11Gijon730410:11-19
    12Castellon722310:11-18
    13Malaga72236:7-18
    14Albacete722314:16-28
    15Ceuta72237:12-58
    16Leganes71426:607
    17Mirandes72148:11-37
    18Cultural Leonesa72147:12-57
    19Real Sociedad B71339:11-26
    20Zaragoza71334:7-36
    21Cordoba71338:12-46
    22Granada CF71246:13-75

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