Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Dsports 9 |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1 |
 Ecuador | DSports 9 |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 8 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DSports 9 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (560/623) | 77% (229/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (560/623) | 77% (229/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 33% (20/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (210/242) | 64% (53/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/32) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Campos G. ⚽, Otero J. (A),
- 25', Lopy D. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
- 45+4', Rosas G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Melamed N. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 46', Leo Baptistao ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 51', Rosas G. 🟨,
- 51', Otero J. 🟨,
- 52', Corredera A. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Embarba A. ⚽, Puigmal A. (A),
- 57', Dubasin J. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
- 58', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
- 68', Campos G. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
- 68', Smith J. ↓, Cortes O. ↑,
- 69', Baba I. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
- 75', Thalys 🟨,
- 76', Horta A. 🟨,
- 79', Vazquez P. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 1, Arribas S. ⚽, Puigmal A. (A),
- 88', Perrin L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Munoz A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sanchez D. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 90+5', Munoz A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
- 90+8', Bonini F. 🟨,
- 90+11', Corredera A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdday4ye
Chances of winning
Almería
46.1% | Draw
27.2% | Sporting de Gijón
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almería's form might have worsened.Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting de Gijón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Almería - Sporting de Gijón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.7) |
3.68 ↓
(4) |
3.73 ↓
(4.91) |
-1.5%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Almería - Sporting de Gijón?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Sporting de Gijón (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 3 - 75%). Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J.
(Injury)
Coundoul A.
(Injury)
Curbelo E.
(Injury)
Loum M.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almería won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Sporting de Gijón?
Almería has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Almería?
Sporting de Gijón has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
22.02.2025
Sporting de Gijón
-
Almería
1:1
31.08.2024
Almería
-
Sporting de Gijón
1:1
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
