Result
1:2
21/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 32
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Cardozo E. 🟨,
- 29', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 🟨,
- 62', 0 - 1, Aguirre E. ⚽,
- 65', 0 - 2, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Rodriguez F. (A),
- 66', Escurra J. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 66', Quinteros T. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 76', Moyano P. ↓, Gomez B. ↑,
- 79', Iglesias L. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
- 82', Aguirre E. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
- 82', Gutierrez I. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Flores G. ⚽,
- 89', Benitez A. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
- 90+6', De Tomasso J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Almirante Brown 34.5% | Draw 34.4% | Defensores de Belgrano 31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.71 ↑ (2.7) |
2.7 ↓ (2.82) |
3.04 ↑ (2.7) |
6.8% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1.
- Almirante Brown has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Defensores is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Almirante Brown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Almirante Brown won against Defensores de Belgrano?
Almirante Brown has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensores de Belgrano won against Almirante Brown?
Defensores de Belgrano has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano were as follows:
06.06.2025
Defensores de Belgrano
-
Almirante Brown
1:1
23.09.2024
Defensores de Belgrano
-
Almirante Brown
3:0
04.05.2024
Almirante Brown
-
Defensores de Belgrano
0:2
11.09.2023
Defensores de Belgrano
-
Almirante Brown
0:1
02.10.2022
Almirante Brown
-
Defensores de Belgrano
2:3
Latest results of Almirante Brown
Latest results of Defensores de Belgrano
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | 0 : 0 |