Barco vs Alondras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
02/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 69', 🟥,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Barco
15.8%
Draw
33.8%
Alondras
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 28.3% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 26.7% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barco's form might have worsened.
  • Alondras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alondras's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+21.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alondras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barco - Alondras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.06
    (2.27)
    3.29
    (3.2)
    2.21
    (2.86)
    -10.1%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barco won 0.
    • Barco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alondras is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Barco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barco - Alondras were as follows:
    07.04.2023 Barco - Alondras 1:2
    11.12.2022 Alondras - Barco 3:0
    Latest results of Barco
    26.10.2025 Lugo B - Barco 1:1
    19.10.2025 Barco - Gran Peña 1:2
    11.10.2025 Silva SD - Barco 1:0
    05.10.2025 Barco - Céltiga 2:1
    21.09.2025 Barco - Boiro 0:1
    Latest results of Alondras
    25.10.2025 Alondras - Compostela 0:2
    19.10.2025 Estradense - Alondras 4:0
    12.10.2025 Alondras - Somozas 1:3
    05.10.2025 Montañeros - Alondras 2:2
    28.09.2025 Alondras - Arosa 0:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

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