Result
4:2
08/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Santin D. ⚽,
- 9', 0 - 2, Castro B. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Rodriguez I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 2, Cellerino G. ⚽,
- 52', 3 - 2, Fran Lopez ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 2, Fontan Davila M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gran Peña
52.8% | Draw
32.3% | Barco
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gran Peña's performance.Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gran Peña - Barco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.48) |
3.47 ↑
(2.84) |
7.48 ↑
(2.8) |
-10.8%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
- Gran Peña has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barco is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against Barco?
Gran Peña has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barco won against Gran Peña?
Barco has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Barco were as follows:
19.10.2025
Barco
-
Gran Peña
1:2
18.02.2023
Barco
-
Gran Peña
1:0
22.10.2022
Gran Peña
-
Barco
1:1
Latest results of Gran Peña
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arosa SC | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 55:33 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Compostela | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 65 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Boiro | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:27 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Estradense | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:32 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 | Somozas | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 50 |
| 7 | Racing Club Villalbes | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 34:28 | 6 | 49 |
| 8 | Lugo B | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Gran Pena | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 10 | Barco | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
| 11 | Montaneros | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 12 | Alondras | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 27:40 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Cambados | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 27:52 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25:67 | -42 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
