Alondras vs Gran Peña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Marino D. ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Alondras
47.7%
Draw
30.3%
Gran Peña
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 27.2% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 26.4% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Alondras - Gran Peña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.77)
    3
    (3.32)
    4.13
    (4.12)
    10%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Alondras - Gran Peña?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alondras will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alondras won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Alondras is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alondras won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alondras won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alondras - Gran Peña were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Alondras - Gran Peña 0:0
    06.10.2024 Gran Peña - Alondras 2:1
    03.03.2024 Gran Peña - Alondras 1:5
    14.10.2023 Alondras - Gran Peña 1:0
    16.04.2023 Gran Peña - Alondras 4:3
    Latest results of Alondras
    07.12.2025 Silva SD - Alondras 0:3
    23.11.2025 Alondras - Céltiga 1:0
    09.11.2025 Alondras - Boiro 2:2
    02.11.2025 Barco - Alondras 1:1
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    07.12.2025 Gran Peña - Lugo B 2:3
    23.11.2025 Gran Peña - Viveiro 0:0
    16.11.2025 Silva SD - Gran Peña 1:2
    09.11.2025 Gran Peña - Céltiga 2:4
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela30179449:242560
    2Arosa SC301610451:331858
    3Atletico Arteixo30149748:341451
    4Somozas301210831:26546
    5Racing Club Villalbes301113632:211146
    6Barco301361133:35-245
    7Estradense301111838:29944
    8Boiro301111834:25944
    9Montaneros301110941:36543
    10Gran Pena301012844:38642
    11Lugo B301011931:32-141
    12Celtiga301171243:38540
    13Alondras301091140:42-239
    14Viveiro308101225:37-1234
    15Cambados304141223:33-1026
    16Silva SD30681623:43-2026
    17Noia30471919:47-2819
    18Barbadas-Bentraces30471923:55-3219

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