Alondras vs Gran Peña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Marino D. ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Alondras
47.7%
Draw
30.3%
Gran Peña
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 27.2% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 26.4% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Alondras - Gran Peña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.77)
    3
    (3.32)
    4.13
    (4.12)
    10%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Alondras - Gran Peña?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alondras (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alondras won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Alondras is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alondras won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alondras won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alondras - Gran Peña were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Alondras - Gran Peña 0:0
    06.10.2024 Gran Peña - Alondras 2:1
    03.03.2024 Gran Peña - Alondras 1:5
    14.10.2023 Alondras - Gran Peña 1:0
    16.04.2023 Gran Peña - Alondras 4:3
    Latest results of Alondras
    07.12.2025 Silva SD - Alondras 0:3
    23.11.2025 Alondras - Céltiga 1:0
    09.11.2025 Alondras - Boiro 2:2
    02.11.2025 Barco - Alondras 1:1
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    07.12.2025 Gran Peña - Lugo B 2:3
    23.11.2025 Gran Peña - Viveiro 0:0
    16.11.2025 Silva SD - Gran Peña 1:2
    09.11.2025 Gran Peña - Céltiga 2:4
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

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