Céltiga vs Gran Peña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, ,
  • 37', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Céltiga
40.1%
Draw
30.1%
Gran Peña
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 28.5% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 29.7% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Céltiga - Gran Peña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.15)
    3.04
    (3.18)
    3.07
    (3.09)
    9.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
    • In recent matches, Céltiga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gran Peña is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gran Peña may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Céltiga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Céltiga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Céltiga - Gran Peña were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Gran Peña - Céltiga 2:4
    Latest results of Céltiga
    19.03.2026 Silva SD - Céltiga 1:0
    15.03.2026 Viveiro - Céltiga 0:0
    22.02.2026 Céltiga - Barco 0:0
    18.02.2026 Céltiga - Estradense 2:1
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    14.03.2026 Boiro - Gran Peña 1:1
    08.03.2026 Gran Peña - Barco 4:2
    22.02.2026 Gran Peña - Estradense 2:1
    14.02.2026 Somozas - Gran Peña 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arosa SC331910455:332267
    2Compostela331811454:282665
    3Atletico Arteixo33169852:421057
    4Boiro331311943:271650
    5Estradense331311943:321150
    6Somozas331311935:30550
    7Racing Club Villalbes331213834:28649
    8Lugo B331212940:33748
    9Gran Pena331212952:411148
    10Barco331371334:38-446
    11Montaneros3311121044:41345
    12Alondras331191343:48-542
    13Celtiga331171545:45040
    14Viveiro339111327:40-1338
    15Silva SD33981634:46-1235
    16Cambados334141523:39-1626
    17Noia33672027:52-2525
    18Barbadas-Bentraces33472225:67-4219

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation