Result
2:1
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 39', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Noia
38.2% | Draw
36.9% | Alondras
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Noia's performance.Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alondras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+21.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alondras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Noia - Alondras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↑
(3.35) |
3.84 ↑
(3.3) |
5.69 ↑
(2.02) |
-29.5%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Alondras might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Noia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Noia won against Alondras?
Noia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alondras won against Noia?
Alondras has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Noia - Alondras were as follows:
13.09.2025
Alondras
-
Noia
1:0
30.03.2025
Noia
-
Alondras
1:2
17.11.2024
Alondras
-
Noia
0:0
Latest results of Alondras
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 37:19 | 18 | 46 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 40:26 | 14 | 43 |
| 3 | Racing Club Villalbes | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 38 |
| 4 | Somozas | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 37 |
| 5 | Alondras | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 33 |
| 6 | Celtiga | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Boiro | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 25:20 | 5 | 30 |
| 8 | Gran Pena | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 30 |
| 10 | Lugo B | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Estradense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
| 12 | Atletico Arteixo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 29 |
| 13 | Barco | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:23 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 27 |
| 15 | Cambados | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15:32 | -17 | 18 |
| 17 | Noia | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 12:38 | -26 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
