Result
5:0
18/01/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, Fontan Davila M. ⚽,
- 25', 3 - 0, Armada T. ⚽,
- 32', 4 - 0, Coira A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 80', 5 - 0, Barrios Comesana A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gran Peña 59.6% | Draw 24.2% | Noia 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gran Peña's performance.Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gran Peña - Noia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↓ (1.97) |
4.6 ↑ (3.25) |
6.86 ↑ (3.55) |
-10.1% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Gran Peña is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Noia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gran Peña will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against Noia?
Gran Peña has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Noia won against Gran Peña?
Noia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Noia were as follows:
27.10.2024
Noia
-
Gran Peña
2:1
Latest results of Gran Peña
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:24 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 51:33 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Somozas | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Barco | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Estradense | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 8 | Boiro | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Lugo B | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 13 | Alondras | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Cambados | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23:55 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation