Gran Peña vs Noia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
18/01/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Fontan Davila M. ,
  • 25', 3 - 0, Armada T. ,
  • 32', 4 - 0, Coira A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 80', 5 - 0, Barrios Comesana A. ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
59.6%
Draw
24.2%
Noia
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 28% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26.3% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gran Peña's performance.
  • Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gran Peña - Noia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.97)
    4.6
    (3.25)
    6.86
    (3.55)
    -10.1%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Gran Peña is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Noia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gran Peña will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Noia were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Noia - Gran Peña 2:1
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    11.01.2026 RC Villalbes - Gran Peña 1:0
    21.12.2025 Gran Peña - Barbadás 1:2
    14.12.2025 Alondras - Gran Peña 1:1
    07.12.2025 Gran Peña - Lugo B 2:3
    23.11.2025 Gran Peña - Viveiro 0:0
    Latest results of Noia
    11.01.2026 Noia - Silva SD 0:0
    21.12.2025 Céltiga - Noia 1:0
    13.12.2025 Noia - Juventud Cambados 2:1
    06.12.2025 Boiro - Noia 4:0
    23.11.2025 Noia - Barco 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arosa SC331910455:332267
    2Compostela331811454:282665
    3Atletico Arteixo33169852:421057
    4Boiro331311943:271650
    5Estradense331311943:321150
    6Somozas331311935:30550
    7Racing Club Villalbes331213834:28649
    8Lugo B331212940:33748
    9Gran Pena331212952:411148
    10Barco331371334:38-446
    11Montaneros3311121044:41345
    12Alondras331191343:48-542
    13Celtiga331171545:45040
    14Viveiro339111327:40-1338
    15Silva SD33981634:46-1235
    16Cambados334141523:39-1626
    17Noia33672027:52-2525
    18Barbadas-Bentraces33472225:67-4219

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