Result
2:1
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 39', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Noia
38.2% | Draw
36.9% | Alondras
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Noia's performance.Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alondras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+21.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alondras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Noia - Alondras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↑
(3.35) |
3.84 ↑
(3.3) |
5.69 ↑
(2.02) |
-29.5%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Alondras might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Noia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Noia won against Alondras?
Noia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alondras won against Noia?
Alondras has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Noia - Alondras were as follows:
13.09.2025
Alondras
-
Noia
1:0
30.03.2025
Noia
-
Alondras
1:2
17.11.2024
Alondras
-
Noia
0:0
Latest results of Alondras
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arosa SC | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 55:33 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Compostela | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 65 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Boiro | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:27 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Estradense | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:32 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 | Somozas | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 50 |
| 7 | Racing Club Villalbes | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 34:28 | 6 | 49 |
| 8 | Lugo B | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Gran Pena | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 10 | Barco | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
| 11 | Montaneros | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 12 | Alondras | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 27:40 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Cambados | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 27:52 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25:67 | -42 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
