Altrincham vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Altrincham - Carlisle United
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
50
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
11
Total shots
84
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Banks L. (Own goal),
  • 16', Harper C. 🟨,
  • 17', Kelly G. 🟨,
  • 19', Gilliead A. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Knowles J. (Pen),
  • 20', Thomas T. 🟨,
  • 24', Osborne E. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 2, Linney R. , Wearne S. (A),
  • 45+3', Crawford T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Harper C. 🟨,
  • 68', Crankshaw O. , Gale J. ,
  • 68', Marriott I. , Ward K. ,
  • 72', Wearne S. , Macadam H. ,
  • 80', Knowles J. , Kosylo M. ,
  • 80', Linney R. , Jones J. ,
  • 80', Luamba J. , Ajiboye D. ,
  • 84', Davies A. , Feeney M. ,
  • 86', Ellis J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+5', Crawford T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Altrincham
23.3%
Draw
26.7%
Carlisle United
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 27.5% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 26.5% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altrincham's form might have worsened.
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlisle United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altrincham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlisle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Altrincham - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.82
    (2.96)
    3.81
    (3.35)
    1.89
    (2.24)
    -0%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Altrincham have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Carlisle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Carlisle might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Altrincham
    13.09.2025 Boreham Wood - Altrincham 3:1
    06.09.2025 Altrincham - Sutton United 2:1
    03.09.2025 Gateshead - Altrincham 0:2
    30.08.2025 Eastleigh - Altrincham 2:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale12100224:71730
    2Forest Green1485121:81329
    3Carlisle1492325:151029
    4Scunthorpe1384124:111328
    5Boreham Wood1384125:131228
    6FC Halifax1473422:21124
    7York City1264224:121222
    8Southend1364320:11922
    9Tamworth1464417:18-122
    10Wealdstone1454520:18219
    11Yeovil1461717:20-319
    12Hartlepool1446413:10318
    13Eastleigh1353515:15018
    14Gateshead1452722:32-1017
    15Boston Utd1344514:17-316
    16Brackley Town1344510:13-316
    17Solihull Moors1435615:26-1114
    18Woking1434717:19-213
    19Aldershot1434727:31-413
    20Altrincham1441917:22-513
    21Braintree1433813:22-912
    22Sutton1415815:25-108
    23Truro14221013:24-118
    24Morecambe1222816:36-208

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation