Quilmes vs Alvarado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes).

Primera Nacional - Round 21

Match Stats


Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
8	7
Shots on target
4	4
Corner Kicks
9	4
Yellow Cards
1	1
Total shots
8	7
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
4	3
Corner Kicks
9	4
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Silva K. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
45+1', Gobetto J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Irazoque A. ↓, Gorgerino C. ↑,
56', Gobetto J. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
58', Kalinski E. ↓, Kaprof J. ↑,
58', Carabajal G. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
69', Martinez R. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
81', Belinetz O. 🟨,
81', Belinetz O. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
82', Kaprof J. ↓, Coronel J. ↑,
88', Bolivar A. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
88', Martinez E. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Quilmes
49.3%

Draw
31.9%

Alvarado
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

29.8%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

28.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Quilmes - Alvarado Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.72)	2.89 ↓ (3.08)	4.93 ↓ (5.52)	7.9% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Quilmes - Alvarado?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Alvarado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alvarado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Quilmes is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Alvarado?

Quilmes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Quilmes?

Alvarado has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Alvarado were as follows:

02.03.2025 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0

22.09.2024 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0

05.05.2024 Quilmes - Alvarado 1:1

17.09.2022 Alvarado - Quilmes 3:0

Latest results of Quilmes

22.08.2025 Quilmes - San Miguel 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes 2:0 ✺

05.08.2025 Quilmes - Atlanta Buenos Aires 2:1 ✺

30.07.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Alvarado

23.08.2025 Alvarado - Tristán Suárez 0:0 ✺

17.08.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado 0:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Alvarado - Güemes 1:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Patronato Parana - Alvarado 1:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste 3:0 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

2025

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn ✔	34	16	12	6	45:28	17	60
2	Atletico Atlanta ✔	34	14	13	7	31:28	3	55
3	Tristan Suarez ✔	34	12	16	6	33:23	10	52
4	Gimnasia y Tiro ✔	34	13	12	9	34:23	11	51
5	San Miguel ✔	34	12	14	8	32:28	4	50
6	San Martin T. ✔	34	12	13	9	32:29	3	49
7	Deportivo Maipu ✔	34	12	12	10	34:30	4	48
8	Patronato ✔	34	12	12	10	31:28	3	48
9	Colegiales	34	13	8	13	26:26	0	47
10	Racing Cordoba	34	10	11	13	38:45	-7	41
11	Ferro	34	10	11	13	24:33	-9	41
12	Los Andes	33	10	10	13	28:28	0	40
13	Club A. Guemes	34	8	16	10	28:32	-4	40
14	Quilmes	34	8	14	12	30:32	-2	38
15	All Boys	33	7	17	9	23:25	-2	38
16	Almagro	34	7	14	13	24:31	-7	35
17	Arsenal Sarandi ✔	34	8	10	16	38:47	-9	34
18	Alvarado ✔	34	6	15	13	18:33	-15	33

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	34	17	12	5	35:18	17	63
2	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	34	16	12	6	35:22	13	60
3	CA Estudiantes	34	17	8	9	41:22	19	59
4	Deportivo Moron	34	15	13	6	36:19	17	58
5	Gimnasia Jujuy ✔	34	15	12	7	36:20	16	57
6	Temperley	34	14	13	7	30:22	8	55
7	Agropecuario	34	15	9	10	43:34	9	54
8	Chaco For Ever	34	15	8	11	34:26	8	53
9	Chacarita Juniors	34	12	13	9	37:29	8	49
10	Def. de Belgrano	34	12	12	10	30:26	4	48
11	Nueva Chicago	34	10	11	13	27:33	-6	41
12	San Telmo	34	10	11	13	31:42	-11	41
13	CA Mitre	34	10	10	14	28:31	-3	40
14	Almirante Brown	34	8	12	14	28:38	-10	36
15	Central Norte	34	10	6	18	27:41	-14	36
16	Colon Santa Fe	34	9	5	20	22:39	-17	32
17	Talleres (R.E) ✔	34	6	5	23	17:40	-23	23
18	Defensores Unidos ✔	34	3	12	19	17:52	-35	21

      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
Alvarado is Relegated to
Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to