Quilmes vs Alvarado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Quilmes - Alvarado
Result
0:0
28/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
87
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
94
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Silva K. , Fernandez T. ,
  • 45+1', Gobetto J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Irazoque A. , Gorgerino C. ,
  • 56', Gobetto J. , Borgnino M. ,
  • 58', Kalinski E. , Kaprof J. ,
  • 58', Carabajal G. , Mino M. ,
  • 69', Martinez R. , Capano J. ,
  • 81', Belinetz O. 🟨,
  • 81', Belinetz O. , Postigo J. ,
  • 82', Kaprof J. , Coronel J. ,
  • 88', Bolivar A. , Ortiz D. ,
  • 88', Martinez E. , Aleo A. ,

Chances of winning


Quilmes
49.3%
Draw
31.9%
Alvarado
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 29.8% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 28.9% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Quilmes - Alvarado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.72)
    2.89
    (3.08)
    4.93
    (5.52)
    7.9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - Alvarado?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
    • Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Alvarado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alvarado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Quilmes is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Alvarado were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0
    22.09.2024 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0
    05.05.2024 Quilmes - Alvarado 1:1
    17.09.2022 Alvarado - Quilmes 3:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    22.08.2025 Quilmes - San Miguel 2:0
    16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0
    30.07.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 3:1
    Latest results of Alvarado
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynBye
    2Gimnasia JujuySan Miguel0 : 0
    3Atletico AtlantaChaco For Ever3 : 0
    4Deportivo MoronSan Martin T.0 : 0
    5Estudiantes Rio CuartoPatronato2 : 1
    6Gimnasia y TiroTemperley2 : 0
    7CA EstudiantesDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    8Tristan SuarezAgropecuario2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynGimnasia Jujuy0 : 1
    2Atletico AtlantaDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    3Estudiantes Rio CuartoGimnasia y Tiro0 : 0
    4CA EstudiantesTristan Suarez0 : 0