Result
Postponed
06/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 21
Chances of winning
Quilmes
54.1% | Draw
29.2% | Alvarado
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Quilmes - Alvarado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.72) |
3.13 ↑
(3.08) |
5.63 ↑
(5.52) |
8.8%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
- Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Alvarado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alvarado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Quilmes is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Alvarado?
Quilmes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Quilmes?
Alvarado has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Alvarado were as follows:
02.03.2025
Alvarado
-
Quilmes
0:0
22.09.2024
Alvarado
-
Quilmes
0:0
05.05.2024
Quilmes
-
Alvarado
1:1
17.09.2022
Alvarado
-
Quilmes
3:0
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Patronato | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25:24 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Almagro | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 15:21 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 15 | Club A. Guemes | 25 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 | Ferro | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 26 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 46 |
| 2 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 24:12 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Temperley | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 27:19 | 8 | 40 |
| 7 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 17:19 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Def. de Belgrano | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 22:29 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 20:27 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 15 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9:30 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
