Quilmes vs Alvarado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes).

Primera Nacional - Round 21

Chances of winning

Quilmes
54.1%

Draw
29.2%

Alvarado
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

29.8%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

28.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Quilmes - Alvarado Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	5.63 ↑ (5.52)	8.8% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Alvarado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alvarado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Quilmes is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Alvarado?

Quilmes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Quilmes?

Alvarado has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Alvarado were as follows:

02.03.2025 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0

22.09.2024 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0

05.05.2024 Quilmes - Alvarado 1:1

17.09.2022 Alvarado - Quilmes 3:0

Latest results of Quilmes

22.08.2025 Quilmes - San Miguel 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes 2:0 ✺

05.08.2025 Quilmes - Atlanta Buenos Aires 2:1 ✺

30.07.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Alvarado

23.08.2025 Alvarado - Tristán Suárez 0:0 ✺

17.08.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado 0:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Alvarado - Güemes 1:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Patronato Parana - Alvarado 1:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste 3:0 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

2025

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn	27	12	11	4	38:24	14	47
2	Atletico Atlanta	28	12	11	5	27:19	8	47
3	San Martin T	27	11	10	6	25:20	5	43
4	San Miguel	28	11	10	7	28:24	4	43
5	Patronato	27	11	8	8	29:24	5	41
6	Tristan Suarez	28	9	14	5	24:19	5	41
7	Gimnasia y Tiro	27	10	10	7	23:15	8	40
8	Deportivo Maipu	27	9	9	9	25:25	0	36
9	Los Andes	27	9	8	10	26:24	2	35
10	Quilmes	27	8	9	10	27:27	0	33
11	All Boys	27	7	12	8	22:22	0	33
12	Racing Cordoba	27	8	9	10	31:35	-4	33
13	Colegiales	27	9	6	12	17:22	-5	33
14	Almagro	27	7	10	10	20:24	-4	31
15	Ferro	28	7	9	12	17:29	-12	30
16	Club A. Guemes	28	4	15	9	24:31	-7	27
17	Alvarado	27	5	12	10	17:24	-7	27
18	Arsenal Sarandi	28	6	9	13	28:40	-12	27

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	27	14	10	3	29:13	16	52
2	Gimnasia Jujuy	27	13	11	3	31:13	18	50
3	Deportivo Moron	27	12	10	5	29:16	13	46
4	Chacarita Juniors	28	12	10	6	33:21	12	46
5	CA Estudiantes	28	13	6	9	30:19	11	45
6	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	27	11	11	5	27:17	10	44
7	Temperley	27	11	11	5	23:17	6	44
8	Chaco For Ever	27	13	4	10	28:23	5	43
9	Agropecuario	27	10	8	9	31:31	0	38
10	San Telmo	27	8	11	8	25:29	-4	35
11	Def. de Belgrano	27	8	10	9	22:22	0	34
12	Nueva Chicago	28	8	9	11	24:27	-3	33
13	Central Norte	28	9	6	13	23:30	-7	33
14	CA Mitre	27	8	8	11	19:22	-3	32
15	Colon Santa Fe	28	8	4	16	21:34	-13	28
16	Almirante Brown	27	5	10	12	21:31	-10	25
17	Talleres (R.E)	28	4	5	19	13:34	-21	17
18	Defensores Unidos	27	2	10	15	15:45	-30	16

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