Result
Postponed
06/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera Nacional - Round 21
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Chances of winning
Quilmes
54.1% | Draw
29.2% | Alvarado
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Quilmes - Alvarado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.72) |
3.13 ↑
(3.08) |
5.63 ↑
(5.52) |
8.8%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
- Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Alvarado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alvarado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Quilmes is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Alvarado?
Quilmes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Quilmes?
Alvarado has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Alvarado were as follows:
02.03.2025
Alvarado
-
Quilmes
0:0
22.09.2024
Alvarado
-
Quilmes
0:0
05.05.2024
Quilmes
-
Alvarado
1:1
17.09.2022
Alvarado
-
Quilmes
3:0
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atletico Atlanta | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 21:12 | 9 | 39 |
| 2 | San Martin T | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 21:15 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19:13 | 6 | 32 |
| 5 | Patronato | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 29 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 12:17 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Almagro | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Los Andes | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 19:22 | -3 | 25 |
| 13 | Ferro | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 13:19 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 15 | Club A. Guemes | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 24 |
| 16 | All Boys | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 15:29 | -14 | 15 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 23:10 | 13 | 42 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 40 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 23:10 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 27:15 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 25:17 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Temperley | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Agropecuario | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | CA Estudiantes | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 30 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 16:14 | 2 | 28 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 28 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 27 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 17:25 | -8 | 25 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 15:22 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 22 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 8:37 | -29 | 10 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 6:26 | -20 | 8 |
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Relegation
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