Quilmes vs Alvarado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
28/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
87
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
94
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Silva K. , Fernandez T. ,
  • 45+1', Gobetto J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Irazoque A. , Gorgerino C. ,
  • 56', Gobetto J. , Borgnino M. ,
  • 58', Kalinski E. , Kaprof J. ,
  • 58', Carabajal G. , Mino M. ,
  • 69', Martinez R. , Capano J. ,
  • 81', Belinetz O. 🟨,
  • 81', Belinetz O. , Postigo J. ,
  • 82', Kaprof J. , Coronel J. ,
  • 88', Bolivar A. , Ortiz D. ,
  • 88', Martinez E. , Aleo A. ,

Chances of winning


Quilmes
49.3%
Draw
31.9%
Alvarado
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 29.8% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 28.9% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Quilmes - Alvarado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.72)
    2.89
    (3.08)
    4.93
    (5.52)
    7.9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - Alvarado?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Quilmes (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
    • Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Alvarado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alvarado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Quilmes is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Alvarado were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0
    22.09.2024 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0
    05.05.2024 Quilmes - Alvarado 1:1
    17.09.2022 Alvarado - Quilmes 3:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    22.08.2025 Quilmes - San Miguel 2:0
    16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0
    30.07.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 3:1
    Latest results of Alvarado
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso33008:269
    2San Miguel32104:137
    3Almirante Brown32103:127
    4Ferro31204:225
    5Deportivo Moron31204:225
    6Colon Santa Fe31203:215
    7Def. de Belgrano31203:215
    8All Boys31113:304
    9CA Mitre31112:204
    10Racing Cordoba31111:3-24
    11Godoy Cruz30302:203
    12Ciudad Bolivar30302:203
    13Deportivo Madryn30212:3-12
    14Los Andes30211:2-12
    15San Telmo30124:7-31
    16Central Norte30120:3-31
    17Chaco For Ever30122:6-41
    18CA Estudiantes30030:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro33006:249
    2Nueva Chicago32103:037
    3Gimnasia Jujuy32014:406
    4San Martin T31203:215
    5Tristan Suarez31202:115
    6Chacarita Juniors31115:414
    7Midland31113:214
    8Deportivo Maipu31115:504
    9San Martin S.J31114:404
    10Atl. Rafaela31112:204
    11Atletico Atlanta31111:104
    12Temperley31111:104
    13Club A. Guemes31023:4-13
    14Colegiales31022:4-23
    15Agropecuario31022:4-23
    16Patronato30211:2-12
    17Quilmes30120:2-21
    18Almagro30120:3-31

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation