Result
0:0
28/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Silva K. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
- 45+1', Gobetto J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Irazoque A. ↓, Gorgerino C. ↑,
- 56', Gobetto J. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
- 58', Kalinski E. ↓, Kaprof J. ↑,
- 58', Carabajal G. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
- 69', Martinez R. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 81', Belinetz O. 🟨,
- 81', Belinetz O. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
- 82', Kaprof J. ↓, Coronel J. ↑,
- 88', Bolivar A. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
- 88', Martinez E. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Quilmes
49.3% | Draw
31.9% | Alvarado
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Quilmes - Alvarado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.72) |
2.89 ↓
(3.08) |
4.93 ↓
(5.52) |
7.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Quilmes - Alvarado?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Quilmes (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
- Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Alvarado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alvarado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Quilmes is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Alvarado?
Quilmes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Quilmes?
Alvarado has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Alvarado were as follows:
02.03.2025
Alvarado
-
Quilmes
0:0
22.09.2024
Alvarado
-
Quilmes
0:0
05.05.2024
Quilmes
-
Alvarado
1:1
17.09.2022
Alvarado
-
Quilmes
3:0
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colon Santa Fe | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Def. de Belgrano | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Los Andes | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | San Miguel | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Racing Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Ciudad Bolivar | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Ferro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Acassuso | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | All Boys | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | CA Estudiantes | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | CA Mitre | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | San Telmo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Almirante Brown | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Nueva Chicago | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Temperley | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Midland | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Quilmes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Club A. Guemes | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Almagro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Chacarita Juniors | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Patronato | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | San Martin S.J | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Atletico Atlanta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Deportivo Maipu | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Colegiales | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
