Result
1:3
29/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 29
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (286/346) | 76% (199/263) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
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| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (286/346) | 76% (199/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 54% (34/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (118/164) | 64% (58/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Leo Coelho 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Eduardo Doma ⚽, Rafael Carvalheira (A),
- 20', Leo Coelho ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Ramirez K. ⚽, Rafael Monteiro (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', Torres J. ↓, Gabriel Domingos ↑,
- 58', Erick Varao ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 59', David Antunes 🟨,
- 63', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 64', David Antunes ↓, Everton ↑,
- 68', Akapo C. ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
- 68', Rafael Tavares ↓, Rojas H. ↑,
- 70', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 74', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
- 76', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 76', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Everton ⚽, Bruno Leonardo (A),
- 90', Everton 🟨,
- 90+1', Rafael Santos 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Rafael Carvalheira ⚽, Marcinho (A),
- 90+6', Iverton 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amazonas
32.2% | Draw
30.7% | Chapecoense
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Amazonas - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.48) |
3.18 ↓
(3.25) |
2.59 ↓
(2.67) |
1.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Amazonas - Chapecoense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 8).
- Amazonas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chapecoense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Amazonas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Chapecoense has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Chapecoense?
Amazonas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Amazonas?
Chapecoense has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amazonas - Chapecoense were as follows:
02.06.2025
Chapecoense
-
Amazonas
4:0
26.09.2024
Chapecoense
-
Amazonas
2:0
13.06.2024
Amazonas
-
Chapecoense
0:1
Latest results of Amazonas
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
