Result
2:2
14/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 37
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (372/425) | 78% (223/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (372/425) | 78% (223/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (27/46) | 42% (25/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (87/111) | 73% (80/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Erick Varao 🟨,
- 29', Erick Varao 🟥,
- 42', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
- 46', Marcelinho ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
- 46', Vinicius Faria ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 46', Reverson ↓, Bryan Borges ↑,
- 52', Novillo J. 🟨,
- 55', Rafael Tavares ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
- 59', Andre Lima 🟨,
- 62', Quintana Y. ↓, Lucca Carvalho ↑,
- 65', Robertinho 🟨,
- 71', William Barbio ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
- 71', Robertinho ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Andre Lima ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 1, Torres D. ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 2, Torres J. ⚽, Henrique Almeida (A),
- 80', Torres D. 🟨,
- 83', Wendel 🟨,
- 84', Marlon Douglas ↓, Denilson ↑,
- 90+1', Fabiano 🟨,
- 90+2', Vasquez L. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Bryan Borges ⚽,
- 90+5', Bryan Borges (Pen),
Chances of winning
Paysandu
31.6% | Draw
28.2% | Amazonas
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amazonas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amazonas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Paysandu - Amazonas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.11) |
3.35 ↑
(3.27) |
2.44 ↓
(3.28) |
4.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Amazonas?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Amazonas will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amazonas: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Amazonas (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 7.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Paysandu (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Paysandu (7.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Paysandu (6.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Paysandu (4.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Amazonas (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Paysandu is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.
- Paysandu is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Amazonas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Denner
(Injury)
Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Leandro Vilela
(Injury)
Matheus Vargas
(Injury)
Ronaldo Henrique
(Inactive)
Rossi
(Inactive)
Thiago Heleno
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson
(Inactive)
Dener
(Inactive)
Fernando Neto
(Inactive)
Gabriel Novaes
(Inactive)
Henrique Almeida
(Yellow Cards)
Iverton
(Inactive)
Thomas Luciano
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Bryan Borges
(Injury)
Diogo Oliveira
(Injury)
Matheus Nogueira
(Injury)
Petterson Novaes
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Amazonas?
Paysandu has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Paysandu?
Amazonas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Amazonas were as follows:
23.07.2025
Amazonas
-
Paysandu
1:1
05.09.2024
Paysandu
-
Amazonas
0:1
18.05.2024
Amazonas
-
Paysandu
1:1
01.10.2023
Paysandu
-
Amazonas
1:2
09.09.2023
Amazonas
-
Paysandu
0:1
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Amazonas
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avai | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Ceara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Goias | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Nautico | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sport Recife | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Londrina | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sao Bernardo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Juventude | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico GO | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | CRB | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | America MG | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
