Result
1:1
23/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 18
- Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (355/426) | 68% (144/211) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (355/426) | 68% (144/211) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (25/45) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (115/153) | 57% (42/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (11/45) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 57 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Rafael Vitor 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Diogo Oliveira ⚽, Mauricio Garcez (A),
- 35', Novillo J. 🟥,
- 36', Marlon Douglas ↓, Mauricio Antonio ↑,
- 42', Rafael Vitor ↓, Durmisi R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Erick Varao ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
- 46', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Gabriel Novaes ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Anderson Leite (Own goal),
- 58', Zabala D. 🟨,
- 63', Anderson Leite ↓, Ramon Martinez ↑,
- 64', Denner ↓, Edilson ↑,
- 66', Henrique Almeida ↓, Cocote ↑,
- 72', Akapo C. ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
- 76', Cocote 🟨,
- 78', Mauricio Garcez ↓, Matheus Vargas ↑,
- 78', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 90+5', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amazonas
39.1% | Draw
32.2% | Paysandu
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Amazonas - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.55) |
2.9 ↓
(3) |
3.22 ↑
(2.82) |
7.1%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Amazonas - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Amazonas (votes: 1 - 50%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Amazonas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paysandu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Amazonas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Amazonas could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Amazonas: Castrillon N.
(Inactive)
Joao Lopes
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Amazonas: Alyson
(Inactive)
Jackson
(Inactive)
Rafael Tavares
(Inactive)
Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P.
(Ankle Injury)
Edinho
(Knee Injury)
Quintana Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Paysandu?
Amazonas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Amazonas?
Paysandu has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amazonas - Paysandu were as follows:
05.09.2024
Paysandu
-
Amazonas
0:1
18.05.2024
Amazonas
-
Paysandu
1:1
01.10.2023
Paysandu
-
Amazonas
1:2
09.09.2023
Amazonas
-
Paysandu
0:1
08.07.2023
Amazonas
-
Paysandu
1:2
Latest results of Amazonas
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 38 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
| 11 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 12 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
