Amazonas vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Amazonas - Paysandu
Result
1:1
23/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 18
  • Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.17
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
83% (355/426)68% (144/211)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.601.08
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
126
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
4016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
613
Passes
83% (355/426)68% (144/211)
Long passes
56% (25/45)38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
75% (115/153)57% (42/74)
Crosses
24% (11/45)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.86
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
136
Tackles
55% (6/11)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4056
Clearances
1957
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.080.60
Goals prevented
0.080.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Rafael Vitor 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Diogo Oliveira , Mauricio Garcez (A),
  • 35', Novillo J. 🟥,
  • 36', Marlon Douglas , Mauricio Antonio ,
  • 42', Rafael Vitor , Durmisi R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Erick Varao , Zabala D. ,
  • 46', Gabriel Domingos , Gabriel Novaes ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Anderson Leite (Own goal),
  • 58', Zabala D. 🟨,
  • 63', Anderson Leite , Ramon Martinez ,
  • 64', Denner , Edilson ,
  • 66', Henrique Almeida , Cocote ,
  • 72', Akapo C. , Castrillon N. ,
  • 76', Cocote 🟨,
  • 78', Mauricio Garcez , Matheus Vargas ,
  • 78', Diogo Oliveira , Benitez J. ,
  • 90+5', Leandro Vilela 🟨,

Chances of winning


Amazonas
39.1%
Draw
32.2%
Paysandu
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 30.9% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 31.6% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Amazonas - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.55)
    2.9
    (3)
    3.22
    (2.82)
    7.1%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Amazonas - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Amazonas (votes: 1 - 50%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Amazonas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paysandu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Amazonas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Amazonas could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Amazonas: Castrillon N. (Inactive) Joao Lopes (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Jackson (Inactive) Rafael Tavares (Inactive) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Edinho (Knee Injury) Quintana Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amazonas - Paysandu were as follows:
    05.09.2024 Paysandu - Amazonas 0:1
    18.05.2024 Amazonas - Paysandu 1:1
    01.10.2023 Paysandu - Amazonas 1:2
    09.09.2023 Amazonas - Paysandu 0:1
    08.07.2023 Amazonas - Paysandu 1:2
    Latest results of Amazonas
    20.07.2025 Amazonas - Botafogo SP 3:0
    15.07.2025 Cuiabá - Amazonas 3:1
    22.06.2025 Amazonas - Vila Nova 2:1
    Latest results of Paysandu
    19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5
    05.07.2025 Avaí - Paysandu 0:0
    30.06.2025 Paysandu - Ferroviária 2:1
    21.06.2025 Remo - Paysandu 0:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba22126424:15942
    2Goias22125528:20841
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma23106730:21936
    5Novorizontino2399525:21436
    6Remo22810424:20434
    7Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    8Avai2289529:21833
    9Cuiaba2295825:25032
    10CRB2294924:21331
    11Ferroviaria2278725:24129
    12Operario-PR2276923:22127
    13Athletico-PR2276928:32-427
    14Atletico GO2269722:24-227
    15Athletic Club23741224:33-925
    16America MG22641223:31-822
    17Volta Redonda22571014:24-1022
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2249919:25-621
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )