Result
2:1
22/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 13
- Referee: Goncalves K. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.91 | 1.66 |
Ball Possession |
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52% | 48% |
Total shots |
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11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 6 |
Passes |
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81% (296/366) | 76% (260/340) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 4 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.91 | 1.66 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.69 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
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11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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9 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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0 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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7 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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16 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 16 |
Passes |
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81% (296/366) | 76% (260/340) |
Long passes |
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55% (30/55) | 37% (22/59) |
Passes in final third |
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73% (85/116) | 59% (50/85) |
Crosses |
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25% (6/24) | 19% (4/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.74 | 0.79 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 30 |
Fouls |
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16 | 12 |
Tackles |
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90% (9/10) | 50% (6/12) |
Duels won |
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44 | 47 |
Clearances |
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35 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
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0.84 | 0.69 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.16 | -1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Jean Mota (Pen),
- 32', 1 - 1, Ramirez Kevin ⚽, Thomas Luciano (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Bernardo Schappo 🟨,
- 52', Zabala D. ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
- 61', Rodriguez A. ↓, Dener ↑,
- 62', Thomas Luciano ↓, Vitao ↑,
- 63', Junior Todinho ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
- 63', Andre Luis ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
- 69', Vasquez L. ↓, Robertinho ↑,
- 70', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Robertinho ⚽,
- 72', Jean Mota ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 72', Guilherme Parede ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 73', Elias 🟨,
- 75', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
- 78', Bernardo Schappo 🟨,
- 80', Miticov ↓, Higor ↑,
Chances of winning
Amazonas 32% | Draw 33.2% | Vila Nova 34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amazonas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Amazonas - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↑ (2.52) |
2.83 ↓ (2.87) |
2.71 ↓ (3) |
6.6% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Amazonas - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Amazonas (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).
- Recent performances by Amazonas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vila Nova has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Amazonas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Amazonas: Akapo C.
(Inactive)
Alyson
(Inactive)
Bruno Ramires
(Inactive)
Joao Lopes
(Inactive)
Renan
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Tiago Pagnussat
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Amazonas: Diego Borges
(Inactive)
Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Vila Nova?
Amazonas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Amazonas?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amazonas - Vila Nova were as follows:
22.10.2024
Vila Nova
-
Amazonas
1:0
08.07.2024
Amazonas
-
Vila Nova
1:2
Latest results of Amazonas
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
3 | Novorizontino | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Cuiaba | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
6 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
15 | America MG | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 20 |
16 | Paysandu PA | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
17 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
18 | Amazonas | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )