Result
1:0
12/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 32
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (342/398) | 76% (222/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (342/398) | 76% (222/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (70/99) | 62% (57/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Philippe Guimaraes 🟨,
- 44', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Philippe Guimaraes ↓, Vasquez L. ↑,
- 46', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
- 50', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 61', Rafael Tavares ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
- 64', Guilherme Parede ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
- 64', Jean Mota ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
- 69', Vasquez L. 🟨,
- 73', Emerson Urso 🟨,
- 76', Luan Silva ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 76', Torres D. ↓, Rojas H. ↑,
- 85', Willian Formiga ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 89', 1 - 0, Pedro Romano ⚽, Dodo (A),
- 90+2', Erick Varao ↓, Vitao ↑,
- 90+2', Joao Vieira ↓, Ralf ↑,
- 90+5', Ralf 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
54.3% | Draw
28.1% | Amazonas
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Vila Nova - Amazonas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.79) |
3.33 ↓
(3.35) |
5.28 ↑
(4.6) |
6.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Amazonas?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Amazonas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Vila Nova is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Andre Luis
(Yellow Cards)
Arilson
(Inactive)
Emerson Urso
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Miticov
(Inactive)
Walisson Maia
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson
(Inactive)
Fernando Neto
(Inactive)
Gabriel Domingos
(Yellow Cards)
Ramirez K.
(Yellow Cards)
Renan
(Inactive)
William Barbio
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Amazonas: Gabriel Novaes
(Inactive)
Ramirez K.
(Injury)
Thomas Luciano
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Amazonas?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Vila Nova?
Amazonas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Amazonas were as follows:
22.06.2025
Amazonas
-
Vila Nova
2:1
22.10.2024
Vila Nova
-
Amazonas
1:0
08.07.2024
Amazonas
-
Vila Nova
1:2
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Amazonas
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
