Vila Nova vs Amazonas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B
Result
1:0
12/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 32
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.79
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
86% (342/398)76% (222/291)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.640.35
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
195
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
2020
Passes
86% (342/398)76% (222/291)
Long passes
54% (26/48)38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
71% (70/99)62% (57/92)
Crosses
28% (7/25)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.52
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
2020
Tackles
71% (12/17)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5748
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.350.64
Goals prevented
0.35-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Philippe Guimaraes 🟨,
  • 44', Willian Formiga 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Philippe Guimaraes ↓, Vasquez L. ↑,
  • 46', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
  • 50', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
  • 61', Rafael Tavares ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
  • 64', Guilherme Parede ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
  • 64', Jean Mota ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
  • 69', Vasquez L. 🟨,
  • 73', Emerson Urso 🟨,
  • 76', Luan Silva ↓, Kiko ↑,
  • 76', Torres D. ↓, Rojas H. ↑,
  • 85', Willian Formiga ↓, Dodo ↑,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Pedro Romano ⚽, Dodo (A),
  • 90+2', Erick Varao ↓, Vitao ↑,
  • 90+2', Joao Vieira ↓, Ralf ↑,
  • 90+5', Ralf 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
54.3%		Draw
28.1%		Amazonas
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 27.8% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 26.1% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
    •

    Vila Nova - Amazonas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.74 ↓
    (1.79)    		 3.33 ↓
    (3.35)    		 5.28 ↑
    (4.6)    		 6.4%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Amazonas?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Amazonas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 11.9% – 76.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Amazonas (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vila Nova will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Amazonas (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Vila Nova is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Andre Luis (Yellow Cards) Arilson (Inactive) Emerson Urso (Achilles Tendon Injury) Miticov (Inactive) Walisson Maia (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Fernando Neto (Inactive) Gabriel Domingos (Yellow Cards) Ramirez K. (Yellow Cards) Renan (Inactive) William Barbio (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Amazonas: Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Ramirez K. (Injury) Thomas Luciano (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Amazonas were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Amazonas - Vila Nova 2:1
    22.10.2024 Vila Nova - Amazonas 1:0
    08.07.2024 Amazonas - Vila Nova 1:2
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    08.10.2025 América Mineiro - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Vila Nova - Criciúma 1:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Amazonas
    07.10.2025 Amazonas - Criciúma 2:1 ✺
    03.10.2025 Athletic Club - Amazonas 2:2
    29.09.2025 Amazonas - Chapecoense 1:3
    24.09.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas 2:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Amazonas - Volta Redonda 1:0 ✺
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avai00000:000
    2Ceara00000:000
    3Sport Recife00000:000
    4Goias00000:000
    5Nautico00000:000
    6CRB00000:000
    7Criciuma00000:000
    8Vila Nova FC00000:000
    9Juventude00000:000
    10Ponte Preta00000:000
    11Fortaleza00000:000
    12Atletico GO00000:000
    13America MG00000:000
    14Botafogo SP00000:000
    15Londrina00000:000
    16Sao Bernardo00000:000
    17Cuiaba00000:000
    18Operario-PR00000:000
    19Novorizontino00000:000
    20Athletic Club00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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