Result
2:2
24/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (175/258) | 81% (296/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (175/258) | 81% (296/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/59) | 42% (26/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (45/97) | 67% (64/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 44', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Jader ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 46', 0 - 1, Juan Christian ⚽,
- 50', Matheusinho 🟨,
- 52', Alisson Safira 🟨,
- 53', Higor 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Joao Vieira ⚽, Guilherme Parede (A),
- 62', Ralf ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
- 62', Bruno Xavier ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
- 68', David Miguel ↓, De Lucca ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Junior Todinho ⚽, Gabriel Poveda (A),
- 72', Matheusinho ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 75', Pedro Romano ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
- 75', Higor ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Alisson Safira ⚽, Juan Christian (A),
- 82', Max Alves ↓, Sander ↑,
- 83', Alisson Safira ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
- 86', Weverton 🟨,
- 90', Denilson Alves 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
37.5% | Draw
33.6% | Cuiabá
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Vila Nova - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.27) |
2.8 ↓
(2.95) |
3.21 ↓
(3.3) |
6.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cuiabá will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.
- Vila Nova is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cuiabá is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vila Nova might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Inactive)
Emerson Urso
(Injury)
Igor Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Willian Formiga
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y.
(Injury)
Mateus Pasinato
(Inactive)
Nathan Pelae
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Ralf
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Cuiabá?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Vila Nova?
Cuiabá has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Cuiabá were as follows:
26.05.2025
Cuiabá
-
Vila Nova
1:0
11.05.2024
Cuiabá
-
Vila Nova
4:3
17.04.2024
Vila Nova
-
Cuiabá
2:0
22.03.2023
Cuiabá
-
Vila Nova
1:1
15.03.2023
Vila Nova
-
Cuiabá
0:2
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
