Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 28
- Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (308/371) | 80% (326/410) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (308/371) | 80% (326/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (72/95) | 68% (103/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Diouf M. ⚽, Bulut H. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Diagne M. ⚽, Dimitrov Z. (A),
- 28', 1 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽, Ustundag C. (A),
- 42', Matur O. ↓, Kaldirim H. A. ↑,
- 42', Ustundag C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ustundag C. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
- 56', Ezeh F. 🟨,
- 68', Bilgic H. ↓, Yilmaz E. ↑,
- 74', Caliskan O. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 2, Roshi O. ⚽,
- 80', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Bassan E. ↑,
- 81', Moreno D. ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
- 86', Saba D. ↓, Hasani F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Keçiörengücü
32.7% | Draw
26% | Amed SK
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Keçiörengücü - Amed SK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.74) |
3.57 ↓
(3.84) |
2.23 ↑
(2.21) |
8.5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Amed SK?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Amed will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 1 - 50%). Amed (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Keçiörengücü (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Amed (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1.
- Keçiörengücü has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Amed is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Ayan H.
(Yellow Cards)
Keskin B.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Amed: Cekdar O.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Rroca E.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Amed SK?
Keçiörengücü has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amed SK won against Keçiörengücü?
Amed SK has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Amed SK were as follows:
04.10.2025
Amed SK
-
Keçiörengücü
4:1
29.03.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Amed SK
1:2
09.11.2024
Amed SK
-
Keçiörengücü
0:0
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Latest results of Amed SK
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
