Keçiörengücü vs Amed SK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 28
  • Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.621.30
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
42
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
25
Passes
83% (308/371)80% (326/410)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.621.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.26
Total shots
149
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
81
Blocked shots
26
Shots inside the box
77
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1212
Passes
83% (308/371)80% (326/410)
Long passes
48% (29/61)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
76% (72/95)68% (103/152)
Crosses
19% (3/16)18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.700.77
Throw ins
1332
Fouls
1212
Tackles
83% (10/12)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3628
Clearances
3723
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
1.261.95
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Diouf M. , Bulut H. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Diagne M. , Dimitrov Z. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 2, Moreno D. , Ustundag C. (A),
  • 42', Matur O. , Kaldirim H. A. ,
  • 42', Ustundag C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ustundag C. , Serbest T. ,
  • 56', Ezeh F. 🟨,
  • 68', Bilgic H. , Yilmaz E. ,
  • 74', Caliskan O. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Roshi O. ,
  • 80', Dimitrov Z. , Bassan E. ,
  • 81', Moreno D. , Afena-Gyan F. ,
  • 86', Saba D. , Hasani F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Keçiörengücü
32.7%
Draw
26%
Amed SK
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 24.2% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 23.2% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Keçiörengücü - Amed SK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.74)
    3.57
    (3.84)
    2.23
    (2.21)
    8.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Amed SK?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Amed will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 1 - 50%). Amed (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Keçiörengücü (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Amed (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1.
    • Keçiörengücü has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Amed is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Ayan H. (Yellow Cards) Keskin B. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Amed: Cekdar O. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Rroca E. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Amed SK were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Amed SK - Keçiörengücü 4:1
    29.03.2025 Keçiörengücü - Amed SK 1:2
    09.11.2024 Amed SK - Keçiörengücü 0:0
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Latest results of Amed SK
    23.02.2026 Amed SK - Vanspor 1:0
    19.02.2026 Sarıyer - Amed SK 1:1
    15.02.2026 Amed SK - Sakaryaspor 1:1
    07.02.2026 Pendikspor - Amed SK 0:2
    01.02.2026 Amed SK - Adana Demirspor 7:0
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to