Result
3:2
08/12/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 6
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Colombia | Win play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (260/338) | 77% (294/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (260/338) | 77% (294/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (49/85) | 60% (75/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.41 | -1.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', Lucumi J. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Roman A. (Own goal),
- 22', 2 - 0, Borrero D. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 24', Escobar J. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 1, Morelos A. ⚽, Rengifo J. (A),
- 36', Borrero D. 🟨,
- 38', Candido C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rivero E. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 46', Bertel O. ↓, Correa B. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 1, Borrero D. ⚽,
- 60', Moreno M. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
- 64', Hernandez N. 🟨,
- 67', Borrero D. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
- 67', Candido C. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
- 67', Hinestroza M. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 2, Asprilla D. ⚽, Roman A. (A),
- 77', Lucumi J. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
- 80', Carrascal R. 🟨,
- 86', Castillo M. ↓, Mosquera A. ↑,
- 86', Angulo K. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
- 90+4', Bauza J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4rd5fbum
Chances of winning
América de Cali
27.3% | Draw
27.8% | Atlético Nacional
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
América de Cali - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(3.24) |
3.34 ↑
(3.26) |
2.09 ↓
(2.21) |
7.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for América de Cali - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Atlético Nacional (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético Nacional (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 3 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- América de Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Atlético Nacional?
América de Cali has won 2 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against América de Cali?
Atlético Nacional has won 10 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América de Cali - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
20.11.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
América de Cali
1:0
16.11.2025
América de Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
2:2
02.11.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
América de Cali
4:1
24.08.2025
América de Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
09.03.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
América de Cali
1:0
Latest results of América de Cali
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Fortaleza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Cucuta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Dep. Cali | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Pereira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Chico | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
