Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Bismark S. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.60 | 0.60 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
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10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 7 |
Passes |
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80% (285/356) | 89% (459/518) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.60 | 0.60 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.10 | 0.32 |
Total shots |
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10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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3 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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5 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
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80% (285/356) | 89% (459/518) |
Long passes |
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44% (25/57) | 64% (47/73) |
Passes in final third |
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62% (58/94) | 71% (65/92) |
Crosses |
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21% (4/19) | 19% (4/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.37 | 0.91 |
Throw-ins |
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14 | 23 |
Fouls |
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9 | 5 |
Tackles |
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80% (8/10) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
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27 | 35 |
Clearances |
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23 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.32 | 1.10 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.68 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Morelos A. ⚽, Campuzano J. (A),
- 19', Morelos A. 🟨,
- 28', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 1, Ramos L. ⚽, Carrascal R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Rivero E. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 60', Navarro S. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
- 60', Barrios C. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
- 67', Murillo J. ↓, Borrero D. ↑,
- 70', Ramos L. ↓, Holgado R. ↑,
- 71', Paz L. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 76', Morelos A. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 77', Moreno M. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
Chances of winning
América de Cali 32.7% | Draw 31.3% | Atlético Nacional 35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América de Cali's form might have worsened.Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
América de Cali - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.84 ↑ (2.4) |
2.95 ↓ (3.2) |
2.65 ↓ (3) |
6.8% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América de Cali - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 1.
- América de Cali has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Atlético Nacional?
América de Cali has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against América de Cali?
Atlético Nacional has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América de Cali - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
09.03.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
América de Cali
1:0
15.12.2024
América de Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
12.12.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
América de Cali
3:1
21.07.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
América de Cali
2:1
28.01.2024
América de Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
4:1
Latest results of América de Cali
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )