América de Cali vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A América de Cali - Atlético Nacional
Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Bismark S. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.60
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
80% (285/356)89% (459/518)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.32
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
58
Passes
80% (285/356)89% (459/518)
Long passes
44% (25/57)64% (47/73)
Passes in final third
62% (58/94)71% (65/92)
Crosses
21% (4/19)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.91
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
95
Tackles
80% (8/10)67% (8/12)
Duels won
2735
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.321.10
Goals prevented
-0.680.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Morelos A. , Campuzano J. (A),
  • 19', Morelos A. 🟨,
  • 28', Uribe M. , Rivero E. ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Ramos L. , Carrascal R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Rivero E. , Cardona E. ,
  • 60', Navarro S. , Escobar J. ,
  • 60', Barrios C. , Lucumi J. ,
  • 67', Murillo J. , Borrero D. ,
  • 70', Ramos L. , Holgado R. ,
  • 71', Paz L. , Gonzalez K. ,
  • 76', Morelos A. , Batista F. ,
  • 77', Moreno M. , Sarmiento A. ,

Chances of winning


América de Cali
32.7%
Draw
31.3%
Atlético Nacional
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 29.4% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 30.5% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América de Cali's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • América de Cali - Atlético Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.4)
    2.95
    (3.2)
    2.65
    (3)
    6.8%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for América de Cali - Atlético Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 1.
    • América de Cali has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América de Cali - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Atlético Nacional - América de Cali 1:0
    15.12.2024 América de Cali - Atlético Nacional 0:0
    12.12.2024 Atlético Nacional - América de Cali 3:1
    21.07.2024 Atlético Nacional - América de Cali 2:1
    28.01.2024 América de Cali - Atlético Nacional 4:1
    Latest results of América de Cali
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior852116:10617
    2Ind. Medellin851213:9416
    3Deportes Tolima85129:5416
    4Fortaleza835012:8414
    5Llaneros84229:5414
    6Atl. Nacional834114:8613
    7Pereira83329:8112
    8Santa Fe83328:8012
    9Bucaramanga631213:8510
    10Envigado82428:8010
    11Dep. Cali723210:12-29
    12La Equidad82336:9-39
    13Alianza82338:12-49
    14U. Magdalena82248:14-68
    15Aguilas81438:12-47
    16Chico71336:9-36
    17Dep. Pasto61238:10-25
    18America De Cali61235:7-25
    19Millonarios71158:11-34
    20Once Caldas70346:11-53

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )