Result
2:1
04/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 4
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (274/326) | 81% (300/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (274/326) | 81% (300/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (29/50) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (69/100) | 65% (40/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Casco M. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Borrero D. ⚽, Bertel O. (A),
- 41', Jean 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Roman A. 🟨,
- 59', Asprilla D. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 59', Sarmiento A. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Rengifo J. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
- 67', Cardona E. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
- 68', Rengifo J. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
- 71', Hernandez N. 🟥,
- 74', Borrero D. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
- 75', Angulo K. ↓, Mosquera A. ↑,
- 78', Zapata J. 🟨,
- 79', Moreno M. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
- 85', Bello E. 🟨,
- 86', Guzman Y. ↓, Garces Y. ↑,
- 86', Palacios J. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yc22rvpa
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
52.4% | Draw
27.1% | América de Cali
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Atlético Nacional - América de Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.63) |
3.46 ↓
(3.71) |
4.58 ↓
(5.23) |
7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - América de Cali?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Nacional will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2.
- Atlético Nacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- América de Cali is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, América de Cali has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against América de Cali?
Atlético Nacional has won 10 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Atlético Nacional?
América de Cali has won 3 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - América de Cali were as follows:
08.12.2025
América de Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
3:2
20.11.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
América de Cali
1:0
16.11.2025
América de Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
2:2
02.11.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
América de Cali
4:1
24.08.2025
América de Cali
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of América de Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:18 | -1 | 21 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:14 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Alianza | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Chico | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
