Result
1:1
06/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (410/478) | 88% (516/587) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (410/478) | 88% (516/587) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 56% (35/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (72/94) | 68% (91/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Depay M. ⚽, Maycon (A),
- 38', Martinez J. ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
- 45+4', Carrillo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 1, Navarro S. ⚽, Carrascal R. (A),
- 60', Carrillo A. ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
- 61', Breno Bidon ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 64', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
- 73', Navarro S. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
- 79', Holgado R. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
- 84', Leo Mana ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
- 84', Yuri Alberto ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 85', Charles Rigon 🟨,
- 90+3', Barrios C. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
- 90+6', Pestana J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Andre Ramalho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
60.6% | Draw
25% | América de Cali
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Corinthians - América de Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.63) |
3.76 ↑
(3.6) |
6.48 ↑
(5.66) |
6.3%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - América de Cali?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- América de Cali has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, América de Cali has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Corinthians will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Corinthians won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against América de Cali?
Corinthians has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Corinthians?
América de Cali has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - América de Cali were as follows:
08.04.2025
América de Cali
-
Corinthians
1:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of América de Cali
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
