Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (363/416) | 86% (304/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (363/416) | 86% (304/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 76% (60/79) | 51% (20/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (102/135) | 57% (32/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Alex Sandro 🟨,
- 3', 0 - 1, Lucas Paqueta ⚽, Pedro (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Matheus Bidu (A),
- 22', Depay M. ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 42', Jorginho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
- 52', Evertton Araujo 🟥,
- 61', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
- 62', Samuel Lino ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
- 64', Carrillo A. ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 79', Andre ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 79', Breno Bidon ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 80', Pedro ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 88', Raniele 🟨,
- 90', Vitao ↓, Leo Ortiz ↑,
- 90+1', Vitao 🟨,
- 90+9', Garro R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
27.8% | Draw
30.6% | Flamengo
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Corinthians - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(3.4) |
3.1 ↓
(3.3) |
2.28 ↑
(2.18) |
5.3%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Flamengo will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 50%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Corinthians (3.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
- Recent form of Corinthians has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Flamengo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Corinthians has had a series of away games.
- Flamengo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Carrillo A.
(Inactive)
Depay M.
(Inactive)
Felipe Longo
(Inactive)
Gabriel Paulista
(Inactive)
Hugo
(Injury)
Kaio Cesar
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Bruno Henrique
(Inactive)
Leo Pereira
(Yellow Cards)
Niguez S.
(Ankle Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Emerson Royal
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:33. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Flamengo?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Corinthians?
Flamengo has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Flamengo were as follows:
01.02.2026
Flamengo
-
Corinthians
0:2
28.09.2025
Corinthians
-
Flamengo
1:2
27.04.2025
Flamengo
-
Corinthians
4:0
20.10.2024
Corinthians
-
Flamengo
0:0
02.10.2024
Flamengo
-
Corinthians
1:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
