Result
2:1
12/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 32
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
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| 77% (250/326) | 73% (239/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.49 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.98 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 13 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 12 | 21 |
| Passes |
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| 77% (250/326) | 73% (239/326) |
| Long passes |
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| 43% (21/49) | 46% (38/82) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 66% (63/95) | 47% (51/108) |
| Crosses |
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| 13% (3/23) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.96 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 15 | 29 |
| Fouls |
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| 21 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 50% (10/20) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 51 | 57 |
| Clearances |
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| 30 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
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| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.00 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.00 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Jean Carlos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 62', Rafa Silva ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 62', Stenio ↓, Thauan ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Jonathan ⚽, Jhonata Robert (A),
- 67', Marcinho 🟨,
- 69', Aloisio ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 69', Jean Carlos ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
- 70', Alisson ↓, Georgemy ↑,
- 73', Jhonata Robert 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 1, Ricardo Silva ⚽, Ortiz C. (A),
- 76', 2 - 1, Diego Goncalves ⚽, Joao Carlos (A),
- 79', Yago Souza ↓, Heber ↑,
- 79', Julio Cesar ↓, Mariano ↑,
- 81', Jonathan ↓, Yan Souto ↑,
- 85', Jhonata Robert ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
- 85', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
Chances of winning
Criciúma 46.3% | Draw 29.2% | América Mineiro 24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Criciúma's form might have worsened.América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Criciúma - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↑ (1.75) |
3.22 ↓ (3.5) |
3.86 ↓ (4.45) |
6.4% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Criciúma - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1.
- Criciúma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- América MG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Criciúma is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Criciúma: Caue
(Inactive)
Heitor Roca
(Knee Injury)
Kaua Moroso
(Back Injury)
Nicolas
(Inactive)
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Dalbert
(Thigh Injury)
Guilherme Pato
(Knee Injury)
Heber
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Leo Alaba
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against América Mineiro?
Criciúma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Criciúma?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - América Mineiro were as follows:
20.06.2025
América Mineiro
-
Criciúma
1:1
Latest results of Criciúma
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 35:21 | 14 | 60 |
| 2 | Remo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 55 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 43:30 | 13 | 54 |
| 6 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 52 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 50 |
| 9 | CRB | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 39:34 | 5 | 48 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 48 |
| 11 | Avai | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | America MG | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 35 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 34 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 30:42 | -12 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )