Result
1:0
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
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| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
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| 88% (510/579) | 82% (304/372) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.38 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.59 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
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| 88% (510/579) | 82% (304/372) |
| Long passes |
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| 55% (27/49) | 41% (15/37) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 75% (119/159) | 63% (57/90) |
| Crosses |
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| 35% (6/17) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.22 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
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| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
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| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
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| 57% (8/14) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
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| 48 | 38 |
| Clearances |
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| 26 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.57 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.57 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Kielt S. ⚽, Mafouta L. (A),
- 29', Lo A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Sidibe K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ntamack S. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
- 51', Monconduit T. 🟨,
- 55', Roussillon J. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
- 55', Mlakar J. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 64', Kielt S. ↓, Demoncy Y. ↑,
- 64', Sagna A. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
- 65', Hatchi J. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
- 69', Averlant T. ↓, Kandil N. ↑,
- 76', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 77', Monconduit T. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
- 82', Lutin R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guingamp 61.1% | Draw 22.4% | Amiens 16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Guingamp - Amiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.54 ↑ (1.53) |
4.19 ↓ (4.31) |
5.61 ↑ (5.46) |
6.9% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Amiens?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Amiens (4.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 50%). Amiens (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.
- Guingamp has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Amiens is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Guingamp is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D.
(Inactive)
Hemia A.
(Knee Injury)
N'Landu D.
(Knee Injury)
Ott G.
(Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amiens: Alvero S.
(Red Card)
Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Amiens: Kaiboue K.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Amiens?
Guingamp has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Guingamp?
Amiens has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Amiens were as follows:
22.11.2025
Amiens
-
Guingamp
1:2
18.04.2025
Amiens
-
Guingamp
3:2
22.11.2024
Guingamp
-
Amiens
3:0
06.04.2024
Guingamp
-
Amiens
0:0
02.09.2023
Amiens
-
Guingamp
4:1
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 44:27 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Red Star | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Reims | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Rodez | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 34:32 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:46 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 20 |
| 18 | Bastia | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National