Result
3:2
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 2.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (265/325) | 88% (559/634) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 42 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (265/325) | 88% (559/634) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 69% (22/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (34/50) | 79% (189/240) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.87 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 87% (20/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Mbaye M. ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Ghrieb R. ⚽, Picard H. (A),
- 36', 2 - 1, Leautey A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Riou M. ↓, Demouchy A. ↑,
- 51', Fofana I. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 2, Siwe J. (Pen),
- 69', Chabane A. ↓, Bakayoko S. ↑,
- 69', Lutin R. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 2, Bakayoko S. ⚽, Monconduit T. (A),
- 75', Picard H. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
- 75', Le Bris T. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
- 76', Siwe J. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
- 81', Phiri L. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 88', Monconduit T. ↓, Carraro Injai P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Amiens
19.8% | Draw
25.4% | Guingamp
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Amiens - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.73 ↑
(4.01) |
3.71 ↑
(3.58) |
1.73 ↓
(1.85) |
5.8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Amiens - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Guingamp will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Guingamp is a favorite.
- There will not play in Amiens: Bakayoko S.
(Inactive)
Kaiboue K.
(Inactive)
Kandil N.
(Injury)
Mafouta L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D.
(Red Card)
Labeau B.
(Injury)
Le Bris T.
(Inactive)
Nair S.
(Inactive)
Ndour A.
(Injury)
Ourega D.
(Inactive)
Planeix I.
(Knee Injury)
Sissoko A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Guingamp: Hemia A.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Amiens won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24:19 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Guingamp?
Amiens has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Amiens?
Guingamp has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Guingamp were as follows:
22.11.2024
Guingamp
-
Amiens
3:0
06.04.2024
Guingamp
-
Amiens
0:0
02.09.2023
Amiens
-
Guingamp
4:1
15.04.2023
Guingamp
-
Amiens
3:1
10.01.2023
Amiens
-
Guingamp
1:1
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amiens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Nancy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Laval | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Clermont | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | St Etienne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Reims | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Bastia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Montpellier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Rodez | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Red Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Annecy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
