Amiens vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.582.96
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
89
Passes
84% (359/427)85% (408/480)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.582.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.641.79
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
89
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
84% (359/427)85% (408/480)
Long passes
44% (25/57)43% (21/49)
Passes in final third
76% (74/97)62% (63/101)
Crosses
18% (4/22)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.78
Throw-ins
2416
Fouls
1314
Tackles
59% (10/17)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.791.64
Goals prevented
-0.210.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Averlant T. , Fofana I. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Mafouta L. (Pen),
  • 33', 1 - 2, Mafouta L. , Gomis D. (A),
  • 36', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
  • 44', Lutin R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Ikia Dimi Y. , Hamache I. ,
  • 62', Hamache I. 🟨,
  • 71', Louiserre D. 🟨,
  • 71', Nair S. 🟨,
  • 77', Lutin R. , Chibozo A. ,
  • 77', Mlakar J. , Nduquidi J. ,
  • 78', Averlant T. , Touho M. ,
  • 81', Hatchi J. , Ott G. ,
  • 82', Kielt S. , Mbemba F. ,
  • 87', Fofana I. 🟨,
  • 88', Sissoko A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Amiens
24.1%
Draw
27.1%
Guingamp
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 26.7% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 25.6% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Amiens - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.87
    (3.54)
    3.47
    (3.49)
    1.94
    (1.99)
    6.3%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Amiens - Guingamp?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Guingamp will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guingamp will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Guingamp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guingamp could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Amiens: Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Lobry V. (Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Mbemba F. (Inactive) Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sidibe K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Amiens: Fofana I. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Guingamp were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 3:2
    22.11.2024 Guingamp - Amiens 3:0
    06.04.2024 Guingamp - Amiens 0:0
    02.09.2023 Amiens - Guingamp 4:1
    15.04.2023 Guingamp - Amiens 3:1
    Latest results of Amiens
    07.11.2025 Clermont - Amiens 2:1
    01.11.2025 Amiens - Grenoble 2:3
    28.10.2025 Troyes - Amiens 3:1
    25.10.2025 Amiens - Rodez 2:1
    20.10.2025 Nancy - Amiens 0:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    08.11.2025 Guingamp - Pau 2:2
    31.10.2025 Guingamp - Laval 2:0
    28.10.2025 Grenoble - Guingamp 0:0
    24.10.2025 Guingamp - Clermont 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes24136538:251345
    2St Etienne24134741:291243
    3Reims24118537:231441
    4Le Mans241010430:24640
    5Red Star24117630:25540
    6Dunkerque24108640:251538
    7Annecy24106832:25736
    8Rodez2499631:31036
    9Montpellier241041028:25334
    10Guingamp2497835:36-134
    11Pau FC2497837:39-234
    12Grenoble24610824:29-528
    13Nancy24751221:32-1126
    14Boulogne24751225:36-1126
    15Clermont24671127:32-525
    16Amiens24651328:39-1123
    17Bastia24391212:25-1318
    18Laval24391218:34-1618

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National