Guingamp vs Amiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.380.81
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
63
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
64
Passes
88% (510/579)82% (304/372)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.380.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.57
Total shots
138
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
168
Passes
88% (510/579)82% (304/372)
Long passes
55% (27/49)41% (15/37)
Passes in final third
75% (119/159)63% (57/90)
Crosses
35% (6/17)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.87
Throw ins
2112
Fouls
816
Tackles
57% (8/14)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4838
Clearances
2629
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.570.59
Goals prevented
0.57-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Kielt S. , Mafouta L. (A),
  • 29', Lo A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Sidibe K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ntamack S. , Lutin R. ,
  • 51', Monconduit T. 🟨,
  • 55', Roussillon J. , Louis C. ,
  • 55', Mlakar J. , Sane I. ,
  • 64', Kielt S. , Demoncy Y. ,
  • 64', Sagna A. , Samoura A. ,
  • 65', Hatchi J. , Mbemba F. ,
  • 69', Averlant T. , Kandil N. ,
  • 76', Sidibe K. , Ahile T. ,
  • 77', Monconduit T. , Rafii Y. ,
  • 82', Lutin R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guingamp
61.1%
Draw
22.4%
Amiens
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 21.7% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 18.4% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Guingamp - Amiens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.53)
    4.19
    (4.31)
    5.61
    (5.46)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Guingamp - Amiens?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 44.9%88.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Amiens (4.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 50%). Amiens (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.
    • Guingamp has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Amiens is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Guingamp is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D. (Inactive) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Amiens: Alvero S. (Red Card) Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Amiens: Kaiboue K. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Amiens were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 1:2
    18.04.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 3:2
    22.11.2024 Guingamp - Amiens 3:0
    06.04.2024 Guingamp - Amiens 0:0
    02.09.2023 Amiens - Guingamp 4:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    06.03.2026 Laval - Guingamp 2:2
    28.02.2026 Guingamp - Rodez 0:0
    23.02.2026 Le Mans - Guingamp 1:1
    14.02.2026 Guingamp - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    06.02.2026 Dunkerque - Guingamp 0:0
    Latest results of Amiens
    06.03.2026 Boulogne - Amiens 4:2
    02.03.2026 Amiens - Troyes 0:2
    21.02.2026 Reims - Amiens 0:0
    13.02.2026 Amiens - Dunkerque 1:4
    09.02.2026 Amiens - Clermont 4:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes27166544:271754
    2St Etienne27155746:291750
    3Le Mans271211437:261147
    4Red Star27128731:27444
    5Reims271110639:261343
    6Rodez271110634:32243
    7Montpellier271251033:25841
    8Dunkerque27109842:291339
    9Annecy271161035:30539
    10Guingamp27109838:38039
    11Pau FC27108940:44-438
    12Boulogne27961230:38-833
    13Grenoble27612924:30-630
    14Clermont27771330:36-628
    15Nancy27761424:40-1627
    16Amiens27651630:46-1623
    17Laval273111321:39-1820
    18Bastia273101414:30-1619

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National