Guingamp vs Amiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.380.81
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
63
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
64
Passes
88% (510/579)82% (304/372)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.380.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.57
Total shots
138
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
168
Passes
88% (510/579)82% (304/372)
Long passes
55% (27/49)41% (15/37)
Passes in final third
75% (119/159)63% (57/90)
Crosses
35% (6/17)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.87
Throw ins
2112
Fouls
816
Tackles
57% (8/14)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4838
Clearances
2629
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.570.59
Goals prevented
0.57-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Kielt S. , Mafouta L. (A),
  • 29', Lo A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Sidibe K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ntamack S. , Lutin R. ,
  • 51', Monconduit T. 🟨,
  • 55', Roussillon J. , Louis C. ,
  • 55', Mlakar J. , Sane I. ,
  • 64', Kielt S. , Demoncy Y. ,
  • 64', Sagna A. , Samoura A. ,
  • 65', Hatchi J. , Mbemba F. ,
  • 69', Averlant T. , Kandil N. ,
  • 76', Sidibe K. , Ahile T. ,
  • 77', Monconduit T. , Rafii Y. ,
  • 82', Lutin R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guingamp
61.1%
Draw
22.4%
Amiens
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 21.7% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 18.4% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Guingamp - Amiens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.53)
    4.19
    (4.31)
    5.61
    (5.46)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Guingamp - Amiens?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 44.9%88.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Amiens (4.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 50%). Amiens (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.
    • Guingamp has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Amiens is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Guingamp is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D. (Inactive) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Amiens: Alvero S. (Red Card) Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Amiens: Kaiboue K. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Amiens were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 1:2
    18.04.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 3:2
    22.11.2024 Guingamp - Amiens 3:0
    06.04.2024 Guingamp - Amiens 0:0
    02.09.2023 Amiens - Guingamp 4:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    06.03.2026 Laval - Guingamp 2:2
    28.02.2026 Guingamp - Rodez 0:0
    23.02.2026 Le Mans - Guingamp 1:1
    14.02.2026 Guingamp - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    06.02.2026 Dunkerque - Guingamp 0:0
    Latest results of Amiens
    06.03.2026 Boulogne - Amiens 4:2
    02.03.2026 Amiens - Troyes 0:2
    21.02.2026 Reims - Amiens 0:0
    13.02.2026 Amiens - Dunkerque 1:4
    09.02.2026 Amiens - Clermont 4:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes32197656:322464
    2Le Mans321513447:301758
    3St Etienne32176953:361757
    4Red Star32159841:35654
    5Reims321313647:311652
    6Rodez321313641:37452
    7Montpellier321481039:281150
    8Annecy321471146:361049
    9Pau FC321291144:54-1045
    10Dunkerque3211101151:411043
    11Guingamp3210101242:47-540
    12Boulogne32991432:45-1336
    13Grenoble326151131:39-833
    14Clermont327101535:43-831
    15Nancy327101529:49-2031
    16Laval325141328:43-1529
    17Bastia324131522:37-1525
    18Amiens32662036:57-2124

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National