Result
1:0
20/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, John D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Ammanford
67.7% | Draw
19.9% | Baglan Dragons
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Ammanford - Baglan Dragons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.37) |
4.58 ↓
(4.75) |
7.39 ↑
(6.21) |
9.6%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).
- Ammanford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Baglan Dragons is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Baglan Dragons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Baglan Dragons has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ammanford is the clear favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ammanford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ammanford won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ammanford won against Baglan Dragons?
Ammanford has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baglan Dragons won against Ammanford?
Baglan Dragons has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ammanford - Baglan Dragons were as follows:
28.11.2025
Baglan Dragons
-
Ammanford
0:3
12.04.2025
Ammanford
-
Baglan Dragons
1:1
18.08.2024
Baglan Dragons
-
Ammanford
0:2
17.02.2024
Baglan Dragons
-
Ammanford
1:3
08.12.2023
Ammanford
-
Baglan Dragons
2:2
Latest results of Ammanford
Latest results of Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Treowen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 46:50 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 15 | Afan Lido | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic ✔ | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cwmbran Celtic is Relegated to
