Result
0:5
14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Redhead O. ⚽,
- 19', 0 - 2, Lewis C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 53', 0 - 3, Davies H. ⚽,
- 57', 0 - 4, Gullick L. ⚽,
- 76', 0 - 5, Davies H. ⚽,
- 85', Davies J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Baglan Dragons
19.8% | Draw
25.4% | Caerau Ely
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.59
(4.59) |
3.57 ↓
(4.06) |
1.66 ↑
(1.64) |
10%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- Recent form of Baglan Dragons has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Caerau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Baglan Dragons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Baglan Dragons has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Caerau is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baglan Dragons won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Baglan Dragons won against Caerau Ely?
Baglan Dragons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Baglan Dragons?
Caerau Ely has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely were as follows:
17.09.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Baglan Dragons
2:1
11.01.2025
Baglan Dragons
-
Caerau Ely
2:1
01.11.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Baglan Dragons
2:1
20.01.2024
Baglan Dragons
-
Caerau Ely
2:0
06.10.2023
Caerau Ely
-
Baglan Dragons
3:0
Latest results of Baglan Dragons
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 66 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 55 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 32 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 2 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | -25 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | -17 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | -29 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | -53 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
