Amorebieta vs Sestao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Match Stats

Yellow cards
01
Red cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Etxaniz J. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Garcia J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
  • 88', Sarriegui I. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Amorebieta
27.7%
Draw
30.4%
Sestao
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 31.2% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 31% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Amorebieta - Sestao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (2.9)
    2.99
    (2.88)
    2.17
    (2.38)
    10%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Amorebieta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sestao might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Amorebieta won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amorebieta - Sestao were as follows:
    04.01.2026 Sestao - Amorebieta 1:2
    22.02.2025 Sestao - Amorebieta 1:0
    30.11.2024 Amorebieta - Sestao 2:0
    29.07.2023 Sestao - Amorebieta 1:2
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    11.04.2026 Amorebieta - Gernika 1:2
    05.04.2026 Alavés B - Amorebieta 1:2
    29.03.2026 Amorebieta - Eibar B 2:0
    22.03.2026 Tudelano - Amorebieta 0:0
    Latest results of Sestao
    18.04.2026 Sestao - Basconia 2:2
    12.04.2026 UD Logroñés - Sestao 2:0
    05.04.2026 Sestao - Beasain 1:1
    29.03.2026 Náxara - Sestao 1:1
    22.03.2026 Sestao - Mutilvera 4:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union ✔ 33199562:352766
    2Alaves B ✔ 331710641:202161
    3Utebo FC33177956:411558
    4UD Logrones33177970:333758
    5Tudelano ✔ 33159955:401554
    6Ebro331116642:33949
    7Amorebieta3312111036:32447
    8Sestao331114839:33647
    9Eibar B331371338:40-246
    10Gernika331281334:40-644
    11Basconia331014950:42844
    12Naxara331181437:45-841
    13SD Logrones338131222:39-1737
    14Ejea338111434:50-1635
    15Beasain ✔ 337121435:44-933
    16Mutilvera ✔ 33861931:63-3230
    17Zaragoza B ✔ 33771930:56-2628
    18Alfaro ✔ 33672032:58-2625

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    R. Union is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
    Alaves B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
    Tudelano is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
    Beasain is Relegated to
    Mutilvera is Relegated to
    Zaragoza B is Relegated to
    Alfaro is Relegated to