Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Arberas X. 🟥,
- 41', 1 - 0, Arzalluz M. ⚽,
- 45', San Nicolas G. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 1, Torrontegui H. ⚽,
- 69', Entreca J. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Gutierrez I. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Amorebieta
38% | Draw
32.4% | Gernika
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amorebieta's form might have worsened.Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gernika's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gernika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amorebieta - Gernika Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(1.79) |
2.83 ↓
(3.3) |
3.1 ↓
(4.46) |
9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 1.
- Amorebieta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gernika has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Amorebieta is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Amorebieta will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amorebieta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Amorebieta won against Gernika?
Amorebieta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gernika won against Amorebieta?
Gernika has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amorebieta - Gernika were as follows:
11.10.2025
Gernika
-
Amorebieta
1:0
Latest results of Amorebieta
Latest results of Gernika
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union ✔ | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 62:35 | 27 | 66 |
| 2 | Alaves B ✔ | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Utebo FC | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 56:41 | 15 | 58 |
| 4 | UD Logrones | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 70:33 | 37 | 58 |
| 5 | Tudelano ✔ | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 55:40 | 15 | 54 |
| 6 | Ebro | 33 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 42:33 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | Amorebieta | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 47 |
| 8 | Sestao | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 38:40 | -2 | 46 |
| 10 | Gernika | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 44 |
| 11 | Basconia | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 50:42 | 8 | 44 |
| 12 | Naxara | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 37:45 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 37 |
| 14 | Ejea | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | Beasain ✔ | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 16 | Mutilvera ✔ | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31:63 | -32 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B ✔ | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 28 |
| 18 | Alfaro ✔ | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 32:58 | -26 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
R. Union is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Alaves B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Tudelano is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Beasain is Relegated to
Mutilvera is Relegated to
Zaragoza B is Relegated to
Alfaro is Relegated to
