Result
2:4
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 9', 0 - 1, Pecci C. ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, Cericola M. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 3, Pecci C. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 3, Pierfederici G. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 4, Kouko D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Recanatese 21.8% | Draw 26.2% | Ancona 52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Recanatese - Ancona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.17 ↑ (4) |
3.47 ↓ (3.53) |
1.75 ↓ (1.77) |
10.1% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 3.
- In recent matches, Recanatese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ancona is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Ancona is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recanatese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Recanatese won against Ancona?
Recanatese has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ancona won against Recanatese?
Ancona has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Recanatese - Ancona were as follows:
05.10.2025
Ancona
-
Recanatese
2:0
02.03.2025
Recanatese
-
Ancona
3:2
23.03.2024
Recanatese
-
Ancona
2:0
18.11.2023
Ancona
-
Recanatese
2:0
23.04.2023
Recanatese
-
Ancona
4:0
Latest results of Recanatese
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ancona | 28 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 52:18 | 34 | 65 |
| 2 | Ostiamare | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 54:17 | 37 | 63 |
| 3 | Teramo | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 54:23 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 50:28 | 22 | 49 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 7 | Vigor Senigallia | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Giulianova | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Termoli | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Sora | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 34:43 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 35:41 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29:50 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 | Calcio Chieti | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 24:49 | -25 | 22 |
| 16 | Castelfidardo | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 17 | San Marino Calcio | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 21 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 28:63 | -35 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation