Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Gerbaudo M. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Zini A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 89', 2 - 1, Muro A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ancona 46.5% | Draw 28% | Atletico Ascoli 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ancona's performance.Atletico Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atletico Ascoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Ancona - Atletico Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↓ (2.2) |
3.24 ↓ (3.33) |
3.55 ↑ (2.86) |
10.2% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 6).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Ancona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ancona might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ancona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ancona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ancona won against Atletico Ascoli?
Ancona has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atletico Ascoli won against Ancona?
Atletico Ascoli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ancona - Atletico Ascoli were as follows:
22.10.2025
Ancona
-
Atletico Ascoli
1:0
21.09.2025
Atletico Ascoli
-
Ancona
1:2
30.03.2025
Ancona
-
Atletico Ascoli
0:2
Latest results of Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 40 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 37 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 36 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | L Aquila | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 | Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 35 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | -18 | 32 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | -28 | 31 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | -35 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | -39 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation