AZ Alkmaar vs Anderlecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
20/04/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumRTBF
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 1
germanyGermanyRTL
hungaryHungaryRTL3
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBT Sport

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
56.3%
Draw
24.5%
Anderlecht
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 24% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 22.8% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Anderlecht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.64)
    3.88
    (3.91)
    4.97
    (5.01)
    5.4%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Anderlecht?
  • Users Predictions: AZ Alkmaar will win (88 of 97 users predict this - 90.72%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.95%96.49%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
    • AZ has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (23%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
    • Anderlecht has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (77%), a chance of final (22%), a small chance of win league (7%).
    • This event has quality 59, very big importance 100, big match rating 79. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • AZ is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Anderlecht is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match AZ is a favorite.
    • There will not play in AZ: Karlsson J. (Injury) Martins Indi B. (Hip Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) de Wit D. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Anderlecht: Raman B. (Injury) Verschaeren Y. (Health problems)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches AZ won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Anderlecht were as follows:
    13.04.2023 Anderlecht - AZ Alkmaar 2:0
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    13.04.2023 Anderlecht - AZ Alkmaar 2:0
    01.04.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen 1:1
    19.03.2023 Twente - AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    Latest results of Anderlecht
    16.04.2023 Genk - Anderlecht 5:2
    13.04.2023 Anderlecht - AZ Alkmaar 2:0
    09.04.2023 Anderlecht - Westerlo 0:0
    02.04.2023 Eupen - Anderlecht 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2