Result
1:2
26/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 20
- Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (388/466) | 72% (210/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (388/466) | 72% (210/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (13/36) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (88/131) | 67% (49/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Camara E. ⚽, Pflucke P. (A),
- 15', 0 - 2, Guiagon P. ⚽, Bernier A. (A),
- 24', 1 - 2, Hazard T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 25', Hey L. 🟨,
- 38', Camara E. 🟨,
- 44', Bernier A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
- 64', Saliba N. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
- 67', Bernier A. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 75', Scheidler A. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 75', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 76', Bertaccini A. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
- 76', Gaudin J. ↓, Nzita M. ↑,
- 77', Blum L. 🟨,
- 88', Maamar A. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
- 90+2', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
- 90+5', Guiagon P. ↓, Chikovani N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Anderlecht
54.2% | Draw
25.6% | Charleroi
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Anderlecht - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.82) |
3.67 ↑
(3.65) |
4.69 ↑
(4.2) |
6.2%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Charleroi?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -1 - Anderlecht (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Anderlecht will win
(37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.34% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Anderlecht will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 18 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3.
- Anderlecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Charleroi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Charleroi has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Anderlecht is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Augustinsson L.
(Calf Injury)
Camara I.
(Muscle Injury)
Huerta Valera C. S.
(Groin Injury)
Kana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Stroeykens M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T.
(Injury)
Kone M.
(International duty)
Mbenza I.
(Knock)
Sow M.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Charleroi?
Anderlecht has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Anderlecht?
Charleroi has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Charleroi were as follows:
24.10.2025
Charleroi
-
Anderlecht
1:0
16.02.2025
Charleroi
-
Anderlecht
0:1
21.09.2024
Anderlecht
-
Charleroi
0:0
11.02.2024
Charleroi
-
Anderlecht
1:3
27.08.2023
Anderlecht
-
Charleroi
2:1
Latest results of Anderlecht
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
| 4 | Gent | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Genk | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Waregem | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
