Result
1:0
24/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 12
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (220/284) | 85% (404/475) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (220/284) | 85% (404/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 62% (23/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (51/76) | 78% (127/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 14% (4/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
- 46', Sardella K. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
- 49', Guiagon P. 🟨,
- 65', Pflucke P. ↓, Bernier A. ↑,
- 74', Camara I. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 0, Keita C. ⚽, Guiagon P. (A),
- 84', Saliba N. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
- 85', Guiagon P. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 85', Romsaas J. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
- 90+1', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bertaccini A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Charleroi
34.6% | Draw
28% | Anderlecht
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anderlecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Charleroi - Anderlecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(2.88) |
3.42 ↓
(3.5) |
2.52 ↑
(2.3) |
4.9%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Anderlecht?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 0.
- Charleroi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Anderlecht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Sow M.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Ashimeru M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Anderlecht: Foket T.
(Inactive)
Rits M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Anderlecht?
Charleroi has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Charleroi?
Anderlecht has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Anderlecht were as follows:
16.02.2025
Charleroi
-
Anderlecht
0:1
21.09.2024
Anderlecht
-
Charleroi
0:0
11.02.2024
Charleroi
-
Anderlecht
1:3
27.08.2023
Anderlecht
-
Charleroi
2:1
26.12.2022
Charleroi
-
Anderlecht
0:1
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Gent | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | St. Truiden | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Waregem | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | St. Liege | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Leuven | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Dender | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
