Anderlecht vs Charleroi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 20
  • Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkDAZN
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.72
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
83% (388/466)72% (210/293)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.81
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
167
Passes
83% (388/466)72% (210/293)
Long passes
36% (13/36)48% (30/62)
Passes in final third
67% (88/131)67% (49/73)
Crosses
13% (3/23)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.65
Throw-ins
2521
Fouls
716
Tackles
68% (13/19)68% (15/22)
Duels won
5745
Clearances
1437
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.811.57
Goals prevented
-0.190.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Camara E. , Pflucke P. (A),
  • 15', 0 - 2, Guiagon P. , Bernier A. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 2, Hazard T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 25', Hey L. 🟨,
  • 38', Camara E. 🟨,
  • 44', Bernier A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Cvetkovic M. , Degreef T. ,
  • 64', Saliba N. , Verschaeren Y. ,
  • 67', Bernier A. , Van Den Kerkhof K. ,
  • 75', Scheidler A. , Colassin A. ,
  • 75', Pflucke P. , Romsaas J. ,
  • 76', Bertaccini A. , Kanate I. ,
  • 76', Gaudin J. , Nzita M. ,
  • 77', Blum L. 🟨,
  • 88', Maamar A. , Vazquez L. ,
  • 90+2', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Guiagon P. , Chikovani N. ,

Chances of winning


Anderlecht
54.2%
Draw
25.6%
Charleroi
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.8% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.5% 22.1%

Anderlecht - Charleroi Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.74
(1.82)
3.67
(3.65)
4.69
(4.2)
6.2%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Charleroi?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Anderlecht (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Anderlecht will win (37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.34%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Anderlecht will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 18 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3.
    • Anderlecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Charleroi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Charleroi has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Anderlecht is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Anderlecht: Augustinsson L. (Calf Injury) Camara I. (Muscle Injury) Huerta Valera C. S. (Groin Injury) Kana M. (Ankle Injury) Stroeykens M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T. (Injury) Kone M. (International duty) Mbenza I. (Knock) Sow M. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Charleroi were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Charleroi - Anderlecht 1:0
    16.02.2025 Charleroi - Anderlecht 0:1
    21.09.2024 Anderlecht - Charleroi 0:0
    11.02.2024 Charleroi - Anderlecht 1:3
    27.08.2023 Anderlecht - Charleroi 2:1
    Latest results of Anderlecht
    21.12.2025 Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht 2:2
    07.12.2025 Westerlo - Anderlecht 4:0
    04.12.2025 Genk - Anderlecht 1:3
    Latest results of Charleroi
    19.12.2025 Charleroi - Genk 2:2
    14.12.2025 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 1:1
    07.12.2025 KV Mechelen - Charleroi 1:0
    04.12.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 2:0
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG24157240:132752
    2St. Truiden24153637:261148
    3Club Brugge KV24152745:291647
    4Anderlecht24106830:30036
    5KV Mechelen2499630:26436
    6Gent2496938:35333
    7Charleroi2496932:30233
    8Genk2488833:35-232
    9St. Liege24931220:32-1230
    10Antwerp24861028:26230
    11Waregem2478932:35-329
    12Westerlo24771030:37-728
    13Leuven24671124:33-925
    14Cercle Brugge KSV24591032:38-624
    15RAAL La Louviere24591021:28-724
    16Dender24381318:37-1917

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )