Result
1:3
26/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 35
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (382/461) | 82% (306/371) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (382/461) | 82% (306/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (16/42) | 54% (28/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (80/119) | 77% (99/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.74 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Zorgane A. ⚽, Khalaili A. (A),
- 19', Sykes R. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 2, Zorgane A. ⚽, Ait El Hadj A. (A),
- 32', 1 - 2, Cvetkovic M. ⚽, Maamar A. (A),
- 42', Cvetkovic M. 🟨,
- 45+6', Rodriguez K. 🟨,
- 45+7', Sardella K. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Camara I. ↓, Hey L. ↑,
- 61', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 3, Guilherme Smith ⚽,
- 66', Florucz R. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
- 68', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
- 70', Verschaeren Y. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
- 76', Khalaili A. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
- 76', Zorgane A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
- 81', Guilherme Smith ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,
- 81', Rodriguez K. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
- 81', Saliba N. ↓, Nga K. ↑,
- 81', Diarra M. ↓, Angely M. ↑,
- 90+2', Taravel J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kanate I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Anderlecht
21.1% | Draw
26.8% | Saint-Gilloise
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-4%)
Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.44 ↑
(3.61) |
3.55 ↑
(3.51) |
1.83 ↓
(2.06) |
5.4%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Union SG will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 1.
- Anderlecht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Union SG is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Union SG is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Anderlecht: De Cat N.
(Injury)
Huerta Valera C. S.
(Groin Injury)
Sikan D.
(Muscle Injury)
Stroeykens M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Union SG: David P.
(Surgery)
Leysen F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Saint-Gilloise?
Anderlecht has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Anderlecht?
Saint-Gilloise has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
30.11.2025
Anderlecht
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:0
31.08.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Anderlecht
2:0
10.05.2025
Anderlecht
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:1
12.04.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Anderlecht
2:0
23.02.2025
Anderlecht
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:2
Latest results of Anderlecht
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 46 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 39 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 28 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:14 | -9 | 27 |
| 6 | Gent | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
