Result
0:0
25/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 22
- Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (393/478) | 68% (200/294) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.09 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.48 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 37 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (393/478) | 68% (200/294) |
| Long passes |
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| 47% (17/36) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 75% (150/200) | 64% (54/85) |
| Crosses |
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| 30% (7/23) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.58 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (12/18) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
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| 58 | 48 |
| Clearances |
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| 31 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.12 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 1.12 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Saliba N. 🟨,
- 45+1', Viltard M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Ozcan Y. ↓, N'Diaye M. ↑,
- 61', De Cat N. ↓, Llansana E. ↑,
- 68', Bertaccini A. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
- 68', Sikan D. ↓, Cvetkovic M. ↑,
- 69', Sambu M. 🟨,
- 76', Sambu M. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
- 79', Saliba N. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
- 82', Mbamba N. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
- 82', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 89', Kana M. 🟨,
- 90', Ferraro F. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
- 90', Viltard M. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
- 90+4', Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 🟨,
- 90+6', Nsimba B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Anderlecht
60.4% | Draw
22.5% | Dender EH
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Anderlecht - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.38) |
4.19 ↓
(5.05) |
5.52 ↓
(7.24) |
5.9%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Dender EH?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Dender EH will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Dender EH (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Anderlecht (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Dender EH (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Dender EH (votes: 4 - 36.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Recently, Dender EH has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Anderlecht is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Heekeren J.
(Muscle Injury)
Huerta Valera C. S.
(Groin Injury)
Sikan D.
(Inactive)
Stroeykens M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Anderlecht: Augustinsson L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Ferraro F.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Dender EH?
Anderlecht has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Anderlecht?
Dender EH has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Dender EH were as follows:
17.08.2025
Dender EH
-
Anderlecht
0:2
27.12.2024
Anderlecht
-
Dender EH
2:3
28.09.2024
Dender EH
-
Anderlecht
1:1
29.06.2024
Anderlecht
-
Dender EH
2:1
Latest results of Anderlecht
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
