Result
1:0
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (404/510) | 79% (338/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (404/510) | 79% (338/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/70) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (155/221) | 64% (53/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
- 52', Kadri A. 🟨,
- 57', Saliba N. 🟨,
- 59', Gandelman O. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
- 59', Essaouabi H. ↓, Samoise M. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Stroeykens M. ⚽, Saliba N. (A),
- 70', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
- 74', Lopes L. 🟨,
- 77', Ito A. ↓, Surdez F. ↑,
- 77', Skoras M. ↓, Vanzeir D. ↑,
- 79', Stroeykens M. ↓, Llansana E. ↑,
- 79', Maamar A. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
- 80', Kana M. 🟨,
- 83', Duverne J. 🟨,
- 85', Angulo N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Saliba N. ↓, Ilic M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Anderlecht
53.3% | Draw
25.7% | Gent
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-1%)
Anderlecht - Gent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.66) |
3.72 ↓
(4.19) |
4.57 ↓
(4.64) |
4.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Gent?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Gent will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 42.8% – 80.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gent (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to european competitions.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Anderlecht is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Camara I.
(Hamstring Injury)
De Cat N.
(Injury)
Hatenboer C.
(Inactive)
Sardella K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Gent: Dean M.
(Knee Injury)
Gandelman O.
(Injury)
Mitrovic S.
(Injury)
Paskotsi M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Gent?
Anderlecht has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Anderlecht?
Gent has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Gent were as follows:
27.04.2025
Gent
-
Anderlecht
0:1
23.04.2025
Anderlecht
-
Gent
5:0
02.02.2025
Gent
-
Anderlecht
1:0
24.11.2024
Anderlecht
-
Gent
6:0
04.02.2024
Anderlecht
-
Gent
1:0
Latest results of Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Gent | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | St. Truiden | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Waregem | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | St. Liege | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Leuven | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Dender | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
