Result
4:2
18/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 21
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Norway | DAZN |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.35 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (337/392) | 82% (307/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.35 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 2.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (337/392) | 82% (307/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (33/58) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (68/89) | 70% (92/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.33 | 3.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Angulo N. ⚽, Cvetkovic M. (A),
- 6', Augustinsson L. ↓, N'Diaye M. ↑,
- 31', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
- 34', Kana M. 🟨,
- 34', Coosemans C. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Kanga W. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', Van Der Heyden S. ↓, Kotto S. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 2, Angulo N. ⚽, Hazard T. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Kana M. ↓, Ozcan Y. ↑,
- 46', De Cat N. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
- 66', Hazard T. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
- 66', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Goore H. ↑,
- 67', Volckaert M. 🟨,
- 68', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
- 75', Skoras M. 🟨,
- 76', Ito A. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
- 77', Kadri A. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
- 77', Paskotsi M. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 2, Araujo T. ⚽,
- 84', 3 - 2, Dean M. ⚽, Goore H. (A),
- 85', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
- 88', Araujo T. 🟨,
- 90+5', 4 - 2, Goore H. ⚽, Sonko M. (A),
Chances of winning
Gent
32.8% | Draw
29.7% | Anderlecht
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Gent - Anderlecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.87) |
3.18 ↓
(3.44) |
2.5 ↑
(2.38) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gent - Anderlecht?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Gent (votes: 2 - 40%). Anderlecht (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Gent: Delorge-Knieper M.
(Ankle Injury)
Hong Hyun-Seok
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Hey L.
(Yellow Cards)
Stroeykens M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gent: Essaouabi H.
(Knock)
Samoise M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Anderlecht?
Gent has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Gent?
Anderlecht has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gent - Anderlecht were as follows:
15.01.2026
Anderlecht
-
Gent
1:0
23.09.2025
Anderlecht
-
Gent
1:0
27.04.2025
Gent
-
Anderlecht
0:1
23.04.2025
Anderlecht
-
Gent
5:0
02.02.2025
Gent
-
Anderlecht
1:0
Latest results of Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Genk | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Gent | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Waregem | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dender | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
