Result
2:0
04/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 57% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 77% (23/30) | 55% (17/31) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 43% (10/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 1/2 | 4/9 |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 188 km/h | 168 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 170 km/h | 150 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 23% (7/30) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 44% (7/16) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/9 | 1/2 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 33% (1/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (32/46) | 50% (27/54) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 30% (14/46) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (59/100) | 41% (41/100) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 38% (3/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 13% (1/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 25% (4/16) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Pellegrino
48.3% | Hugo Gaston
51.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Andrea Pellegrino - Hugo Gaston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.12) |
|
1.82 ↑
(1.65) |
6.2%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Hugo Gaston?
Users Predictions:
Andrea Pellegrino will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andrea Pellegrino will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 130. Gaston is ranked ATP: 115.
- Pellegrino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gaston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pellegrino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Hugo Gaston?
Andrea Pellegrino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hugo Gaston won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Hugo Gaston has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Hugo Gaston were as follows:
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Latest results of Hugo Gaston
Draw
Singles - QualificationSemi-finals| 1 | Garin C. (1) | Echargui M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Lajovic D. | Choinski J. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Prizmic D. (2) | Rodesch C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bondioli F. (WC) | Nava E. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Kypson P. (3) | Pinnington Jones J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Martin Manzano J. C. (WC) | Droguet T. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (4) | Damm M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Travaglia S. | Wawrinka S. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Vallejo D. (5) | Faria J. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Llamas Ruiz P. (Alt) | Rocha H. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Kovacevic A. (6) | Carboni L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Mochizuki S. | Fearnley J. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | van Assche L. (7) | Dellien H. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Martinez P. | De Jong J. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Landaluce M. (8) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Pellegrino A. | Gaston H. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Hijikata R. (9) | Basile P. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Moller E. | Basilashvili N. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Merida Aguilar D. (10) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Vasami J. (WC) | Barrios Vera T. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Bonzi B. (11) | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Virtanen O. (22) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Comesana F. (12) | Harris B. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Riedi L. (PR) | Gaubas V. (24) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Garin C. (1) | Choinski J. (20) | |
| 2 | Prizmic D. (2) | Bondioli F. | |
| 3 | Kypson P. (3) | Droguet T. (16) | |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (4) | Wawrinka S. (13) | |
| 5 | Faria J. | Llamas Ruiz P. | |
| 6 | Kovacevic A. (6) | Fearnley J. (15) | |
| 7 | Dellien H. | De Jong J. (14) | |
| 8 | Landaluce M. (8) | Pellegrino A. | |
| 9 | Hijikata R. (9) | Basilashvili N. (21) | |
| 10 | Merida Aguilar D. (10) | Barrios Vera T. (23) | |
| 11 | Svrcina D. | Budkov Kjaer N. | |
| 12 | Comesana F. (12) | Riedi L. | |
