Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
1210
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
66%67%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (41/59)79% (45/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (17/31)68% (19/28)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
21% (12/57)31% (18/59)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (9/28)45% (14/31)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
64% (58/90)75% (64/85)
Return Points Won
25% (21/85)36% (32/90)
Total Points Won
45% (79/175)55% (96/175)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Jack Draper
53.6%
Andrey Rublev
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.9)

    2.06
    (1.9)
    5%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Rublev will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 55.3%85.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Draper is ranked ATP: 16. Rublev is ranked ATP: 10.
    • Draper in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Rublev is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Draper won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
    04.09.2023 Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev 1:3
    Latest results of Jack Draper
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Royer V.Herbert P. (Q)2 : 0
    3Fucsovics M.Habib H. (WC)2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (4)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Echargui M. (WC)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    7Humbert U.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    9Lehecka J. (8)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    10Bergs Z.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    11Fils A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    12Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Halys Q. (LL)1 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Choinski J. (Q)2 : 1
    14Zhang Z. (PR)Carballes Baena R. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zayid M. S. (WC)Popyrin A.0 : 2
    16Machac T.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Royer V.2 : 0
    2Fucsovics M.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (4)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    4Marozsan F.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (8)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    6Fils A.Halys Q.2 : 0
    7Mensik J. (6)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    8Popyrin A.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Khachanov K. (7)2 : 1
    2Tsitsipas S.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3Lehecka J. (8)Fils A.0 : 2
    4Mensik J. (6)Sinner J. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    2Fils A.Mensik J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A.2 : 0