Result
0:2
28/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (388/455) | 73% (266/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (388/455) | 73% (266/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (23/39) | 43% (34/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (99/140) | 58% (49/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (10/42) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽, Del Castillo R. (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
- 41', Ekomie J. 🟨,
- 45', Magnetti H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Camara O. ↓, Biumla E. ↑,
- 63', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 66', Ekomie J. ↓, Hanin F. ↑,
- 70', Cherif S. ↓, Machine L. ↑,
- 70', Abdelli H. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
- 75', Doumbia K. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 79', Arcus C. ↓, Louer M. ↑,
- 79', Belkhdim Y. ↓, Courcoul M. ↑,
- 89', Del Castillo R. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Angers
23.3% | Draw
31.1% | Brest
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Angers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Angers's form might have worsened.Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Angers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Angers - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.8 ↑
(3.15) |
3.41 ↑
(3.4) |
2.24 ↓
(2.27) |
-5.1%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Angers - Brest?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Angers will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Brest will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Angers (votes: 1 - 25%). Brest (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Angers won 1.
- In recent matches, Angers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Brest is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Brest is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Angers: Allevinah J.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Thigh Injury)
Bourgault J.
(International duty)
Tousart L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Angers won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Angers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Angers won against Brest?
Angers has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Angers?
Brest has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Angers - Brest were as follows:
09.03.2025
Brest
-
Angers
2:0
05.01.2025
Angers
-
Brest
2:0
06.01.2024
Brest
-
Angers
1:0
29.01.2023
Brest
-
Angers
4:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
