Result
3:3
24/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 4, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (250/335) | 86% (507/587) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (250/335) | 86% (507/587) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 66% (37/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (50/85) | 82% (183/224) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 44% (14/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | -1.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Guindo D. ⚽, Chotard J. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Tousart L. ⚽, Guindo D. (A),
- 42', 3 - 0, Dina Ebimbe J. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 52', Sotoca F. ↓, Thauvin F. ↑,
- 53', Masuaku A. ↓, Baidoo S. ↑,
- 53', Aguilar R. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
- 53', Said W. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
- 56', Thomasson A. 🟨,
- 60', 3 - 1, Thauvin F. ⚽,
- 64', 3 - 2, Sima A. ⚽, Abdulhamid S. (A),
- 64', Sima A. ↓, Edouard O. ↑,
- 67', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 75', Dina Ebimbe J. 🟨,
- 80', Tousart L. ↓, Diaz Jr. M. ↑,
- 85', Sangare M. 🟨,
- 89', Guindo D. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,
- 89', Del Castillo R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 90+4', Lala K. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Saint-Maximin A. ⚽, Sangare M. (A),
- 90+6', Coudert G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Saint-Maximin A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brest
16.7% | Draw
22.4% | Lens
60.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brest's form might have worsened.Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lens's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brest - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.69 ↑
(4.27) |
4.27 ↑
(3.96) |
1.57 ↓
(1.75) |
4.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brest - Lens?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Lens will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 48.9% – 84.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Brest (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 1.
- Brest has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lens has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lens is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lens: Antonio K.
(Foot Injury)
Gradit J.
(Thigh Injury)
Gurtner R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Balde M.
(Thigh Injury)
Doumbia K.
(Injury)
Locko B.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brest won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Lens?
Brest has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Brest?
Lens has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Lens were as follows:
29.08.2025
Lens
-
Brest
3:1
20.04.2025
Brest
-
Lens
1:3
25.08.2024
Lens
-
Brest
2:0
09.03.2024
Lens
-
Brest
1:0
13.08.2023
Brest
-
Lens
3:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
