Result
2:3
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 37
- Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Avaz, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (425/477) | 85% (351/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (425/477) | 85% (351/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (43/61) | 43% (21/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (62/83) | 58% (51/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 35', Coelho D. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Owusu ⚽, Rotariu D. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Yildiz U. ⚽, Rroca E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ezeh F. ↓, Dere A. ↑,
- 46', Dembele P. M. ↓, Kilic H. ↑,
- 46', Rroca E. ↓, Duman A. ↑,
- 57', Turkmen C. ↓, Gultekin Y. ↑,
- 61', Caliskan O. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Owusu (Pen),
- 64', Sengul A. ↓, Kula M. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 3, Cephas R. ⚽, Schulz N. (A),
- 67', Develi E. ↓, Nahirci O. ↑,
- 76', Rotariu D. ↓, Simsek M. ↑,
- 76', Owusu ↓, Laura G. ↑,
- 76', Dalcio ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
- 84', Nahirci O. 🟨,
- 85', Nahirci O. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 3, Yildiz U. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Keçiörengücü
12.6% | Draw
19.2% | Ankaragücü
68.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keçiörengücü's form might have worsened.Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ankaragücü's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+23.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-30.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ankaragücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.18 ↑
(2.71) |
4.76 ↑
(3.61) |
1.36 ↓
(2.38) |
8.6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ankaragücü will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1.
- Keçiörengücü has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ankaragücü has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Keçiörengücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ankaragücü is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K.
(Suspended)
Silva M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Ankaragücü: Celik O.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Ankaragücü?
Keçiörengücü has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ankaragücü won against Keçiörengücü?
Ankaragücü has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü were as follows:
04.01.2025
Ankaragücü
-
Keçiörengücü
2:0
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Latest results of Ankaragücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pendikspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
