Keçiörengücü vs Ankaragücü – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 37
  • Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Avaz, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.22
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
89% (425/477)85% (351/414)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.432.44
Total shots
713
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
137
Passes
89% (425/477)85% (351/414)
Long passes
70% (43/61)43% (21/49)
Passes in final third
75% (62/83)58% (51/88)
Crosses
23% (3/13)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.45
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
713
Tackles
72% (13/18)75% (18/24)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
1012
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.441.43
Goals prevented
-0.56-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', Coelho D. , Cephas R. ,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Owusu , Rotariu D. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Yildiz U. , Rroca E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ezeh F. , Dere A. ,
  • 46', Dembele P. M. , Kilic H. ,
  • 46', Rroca E. , Duman A. ,
  • 57', Turkmen C. , Gultekin Y. ,
  • 61', Caliskan O. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Owusu (Pen),
  • 64', Sengul A. , Kula M. ,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Cephas R. , Schulz N. (A),
  • 67', Develi E. , Nahirci O. ,
  • 76', Rotariu D. , Simsek M. ,
  • 76', Owusu , Laura G. ,
  • 76', Dalcio , Rakoczy M. ,
  • 84', Nahirci O. 🟨,
  • 85', Nahirci O. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 2 - 3, Yildiz U. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Keçiörengücü
12.6%
Draw
19.2%
Ankaragücü
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 24.9% 37.8%

Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
7.18
(2.71)
4.76
(3.61)
1.36
(2.38)
8.6%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 56.3%96.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH +1 - Ankaragücü (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ankaragücü will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Ankaragücü (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1.
    • Keçiörengücü has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ankaragücü has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Keçiörengücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ankaragücü is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K. (Suspended) Silva M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Ankaragücü: Celik O. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Ankaragücü - Keçiörengücü 2:0
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Latest results of Ankaragücü
    27.04.2025 Ankaragücü - Çorum 1:0
    18.04.2025 Manisa FK - Ankaragücü 2:1
    13.04.2025 Ankaragücü - Boluspor 2:2
    09.04.2025 Pendikspor - Ankaragücü 2:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amedspor24154553:282549
    2Erzurumspor24139244:182648
    3Erokspor24138355:203547
    4Bodrumspor24126649:202942
    5Corum24125736:261041
    6Pendikspor24109534:211339
    7Igdir FK24107733:32137
    8Keciorengucu2499646:281836
    9Bandirmaspor24106832:25736
    10Boluspor24105942:321035
    11Vanspor FK2497833:24934
    12Manisa FK2497836:34234
    13Istanbulspor AS24711631:33-232
    14Sivasspor2479827:24330
    15Sariyer24931224:32-830
    16Umraniyespor24841227:31-428
    17Serik Spor24751224:46-2226
    18Sakaryaspor24651332:45-1323
    19Hatayspor24071718:65-477
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 24022215:107-92-28

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to