Keçiörengücü vs Ankaragücü – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Aktepe Stadium (Ankara).

1. Lig - Round 37
Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Avaz, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	2.22
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
7	13
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
89% (425/477)	85% (351/414)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	2.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.43	2.44
Total shots
7	13
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
0	1
Shots inside the Box
3	7
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
6	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
13	7
Passes
89% (425/477)	85% (351/414)
Long passes
70% (43/61)	43% (21/49)
Passes in final third
75% (62/83)	58% (51/88)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	0.45
Throw-ins
13	16
Fouls
7	13
Tackles
72% (13/18)	75% (18/24)
Duels won
47	46
Clearances
10	12
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
2.44	1.43
Goals prevented
-0.56	-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', Coelho D. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Owusu ⚽, Rotariu D. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Yildiz U. ⚽, Rroca E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ezeh F. ↓, Dere A. ↑,
46', Dembele P. M. ↓, Kilic H. ↑,
46', Rroca E. ↓, Duman A. ↑,
57', Turkmen C. ↓, Gultekin Y. ↑,
61', Caliskan O. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Owusu (Pen),
64', Sengul A. ↓, Kula M. ↑,
65', 1 - 3, Cephas R. ⚽, Schulz N. (A),
67', Develi E. ↓, Nahirci O. ↑,
76', Rotariu D. ↓, Simsek M. ↑,
76', Owusu ↓, Laura G. ↑,
76', Dalcio ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
84', Nahirci O. 🟨,
85', Nahirci O. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 3, Yildiz U. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Keçiörengücü
12.6%

Draw
19.2%

Ankaragücü
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

24.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keçiörengücü's form might have worsened.

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ankaragücü's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+23.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-30.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ankaragücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (2.71)	4.76 ↑ (3.61)	1.36 ↓ (2.38)	8.6% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 56.3% – 96.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ankaragücü will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1.
Keçiörengücü has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ankaragücü has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Keçiörengücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ankaragücü is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K. (Suspended) Silva M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Ankaragücü: Celik O. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Ankaragücü?

Keçiörengücü has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ankaragücü won against Keçiörengücü?

Ankaragücü has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Ankaragücü were as follows:

04.01.2025 Ankaragücü - Keçiörengücü 2:0

Latest results of Keçiörengücü

27.04.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü 0:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Keçiörengücü - Şanlıurfaspor 4:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Ankaragücü

27.04.2025 Ankaragücü - Çorum 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Manisa FK - Ankaragücü 2:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Ankaragücü - Boluspor 2:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Pendikspor - Ankaragücü 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği 0:3 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Adana Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Istanbulspor AS	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sakaryaspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Amedspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Hatayspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Pendikspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sariyer	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sivasspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Boluspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vanspor FK	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Bandirmaspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Keciorengucu	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Umraniyespor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Erzurumspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Corum	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bodrumspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Manisa FK	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Erokspor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Serik Spor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Igdir FK	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation