Result
1:4
02/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (376/448) | 86% (368/429) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 3.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (376/448) | 86% (368/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (96/126) | 75% (82/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.52 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 7', 1 - 0, Kocaturk Y. ⚽, Soukou C. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Fernandes J. ⚽, Roshi O. (A),
- 23', 1 - 2, Fernandes J. ⚽, Ezeh F. (A),
- 29', Akdag I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
- 32', 1 - 3, Fernandes J. ⚽,
- 45+3', 1 - 4, Ezeh F. ⚽, Develi E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yildirim O. ↓, Bulbul A. T. ↑,
- 46', Sas Y. D. ↓, Ugur O. ↑,
- 70', Roshi O. ↓, Yilmaz E. ↑,
- 70', Ayan H. ↓, Rroca E. ↑,
- 71', Soukou C. ↓, Ertugrul D. ↑,
- 81', Cengiz S. ↓, Yavuz A. ↑,
- 81', Kosoko T. ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
- 83', Ezeh F. ↓, Diaby O. ↑,
- 83', Bulut H. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Umraniyespor
20.4% | Draw
21.1% | Keçiörengücü
58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umraniyespor's form might have worsened.Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keçiörengücü's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umraniyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.3 ↑
(2.93) |
4.39 ↑
(3.55) |
1.66 ↓
(2.17) |
6.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü?
Users Predictions:
Keçiörengücü will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keçiörengücü will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 2.
- Umraniyespor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Keçiörengücü is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Keçiörengücü is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Hoti E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Celik B.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Umraniyespor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Keçiörengücü?
Umraniyespor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Umraniyespor?
Keçiörengücü has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
28.12.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Umraniyespor
3:1
20.04.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Umraniyespor
0:1
15.12.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:2
28.04.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Umraniyespor
4:2
09.12.2023
Umraniyespor
-
Keçiörengücü
2:0
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
