Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Rouen, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 78% (38/49) | 61% (42/69) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 26% (10/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 1/4 | 7/14 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 39% (27/69) | 22% (11/49) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 74% (28/38) | 54% (20/37) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 7/14 | 3/4 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (55/86) | 49% (52/107) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (55/107) | 36% (31/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (110/193) | 43% (83/193) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 46% (6/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 33% (9/27) |
Chances of winning
Marta Kostyuk
75.7% | Ann Li
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.Ann Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ann Li might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ann Li could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marta Kostyuk - Ann Li Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.41) |
|
3.92 ↑
(2.77) |
4.4%
(7%) | |
What is the prediction for Marta Kostyuk - Ann Li?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Li will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 59% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -4.5 Games - Li (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -7 Games - Li (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marta Kostyuk will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kostyuk (votes: 2 - 50%). Li (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28. Li is ranked WTA: 36.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Li may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kostyuk is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Marta Kostyuk won against Ann Li?
Marta Kostyuk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ann Li won against Marta Kostyuk?
Ann Li has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marta Kostyuk - Ann Li were as follows:
26.02.2024
Ann Li
-
Marta Kostyuk
1:2
Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kostyuk M. (1) | Parry D. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | McNally C. | Volynets K. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Rakhimova K. | Kalieva E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kasatkina D. | Li A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Baptiste H. (4) | Ponchet J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Shymanovich I. (Q) | Fruhvirtova L. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Blinkova A. | Salkova D. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Maria T. | Jacquemot E. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Cocciaretto E. (7) | Charaeva A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Stephens S. (WC) | Podrez V. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Timofeeva M. (LL) | Boulter K. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC) | Cristian J. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Tan H. (LL) | Bondar A. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Oliynykova O. | Tagger L. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Paquet C. (Q) | Wang Xin. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Ferro F. (WC) | Cirstea S. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kostyuk M. (1) | McNally C. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Rakhimova K. | Li A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Baptiste H. (4) | Shymanovich I. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Salkova D. | Maria T. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Cocciaretto E. (7) | Podrez V. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Boulter K. | Cristian J. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bondar A. | Oliynykova O. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Wang Xin. (RET.) | Cirstea S. (2) | 0 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kostyuk M. (1) | Li A. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Shymanovich I. | Maria T. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Podrez V. | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bondar A. | Cirstea S. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kostyuk M. (1) | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Podrez V. (WO.) | Cirstea S. (2) | |
Final| 1 | Kostyuk M. (1) | Podrez V. | 2 : 0 |
