Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNally – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Rouen, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
62%69%
1st serve points won
70% (32/46)50% (29/58)
2nd serve points won
46% (13/28)46% (12/26)
Break Points Saved
6/96/12
1st return points won
52% (30/58)33% (15/46)
2nd return points won
54% (14/26)54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
6/123/9
Service Points Won
60% (44/73)48% (40/84)
Return Points Won
52% (44/84)40% (29/73)
Total Points Won
56% (88/157)44% (69/157)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
73% (8/11)50% (6/12)
Return games won
50% (6/12)27% (3/11)
Total games won
61% (14/23)39% (9/23)

Chances of winning


Marta Kostyuk
75.4%
Caty McNally
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.
  • Caty McNally has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caty McNally might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caty McNally could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marta Kostyuk - Caty McNally Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.38)

    3.9
    (2.87)
    5.1%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Marta Kostyuk - Caty McNally?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 4 - 80%). McNally will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28. McNally is ranked WTA: 71.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • McNally may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kostyuk is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
    Latest results of Caty McNally
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Parry D.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Volynets K.2 : 1
    3Rakhimova K.Kalieva E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Kasatkina D.Li A. (5)1 : 2
    5Baptiste H. (4)Ponchet J. (WC)2 : 1
    6Shymanovich I. (Q)Fruhvirtova L.2 : 0
    7Blinkova A.Salkova D. (LL)0 : 2
    8Maria T.Jacquemot E. (9)2 : 0
    9Cocciaretto E. (7)Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Stephens S. (WC)Podrez V. (Q)0 : 2
    11Timofeeva M. (LL)Boulter K.0 : 2
    12Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)Cristian J. (3)1 : 2
    13Tan H. (LL)Bondar A.1 : 2
    14Oliynykova O.Tagger L.2 : 1
    15Paquet C. (Q)Wang Xin. (Q)1 : 2
    16Ferro F. (WC)Cirstea S. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)McNally C.2 : 1
    2Rakhimova K.Li A. (5)1 : 2
    3Baptiste H. (4)Shymanovich I.
    4Salkova D.Maria T.
    5Cocciaretto E. (7)Podrez V.
    6Boulter K.Cristian J. (3)2 : 1
    7Bondar A.Oliynykova O.
    8Wang Xin.Cirstea S. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Li A. (5)
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Boulter K.
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2