Karolina Muchova vs Anna Kalinskaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
62%64%
1st serve points won
76% (26/34)53% (20/38)
2nd serve points won
57% (12/21)57% (12/21)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)20% (1/5)
1st return points won
47% (18/38)24% (8/34)
2nd return points won
43% (9/21)43% (9/21)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
69% (38/55)54% (32/59)
Return Points Won
46% (27/59)31% (17/55)
Total Points Won
57% (65/114)43% (49/114)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
80% (8/10)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)20% (2/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Karolina Muchova
59.9%
Anna Kalinskaya
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Muchova's form might have worsened.
  • Anna Kalinskaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anna Kalinskaya's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Muchova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anna Kalinskaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Karolina Muchova - Anna Kalinskaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.44)

    2.39
    (2.77)
    5.1%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Karolina Muchova - Anna Kalinskaya?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 Games - Kalinskaya (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Anna Kalinskaya will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.02%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Anna Kalinskaya will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Muchova (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Kalinskaya (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muchova is ranked WTA: 19. Kalinskaya is ranked WTA: 28.
    • Muchova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kalinskaya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Muchova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Muchova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karolina Muchova - Anna Kalinskaya were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Anna Kalinskaya - Karolina Muchova 1:2
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Latest results of Anna Kalinskaya
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
    2Tjen J. (WC)Haddad Maia B. (LL)2 : 0
    3Kasatkina D.Uchijima M. (Q)2 : 1
    4Pavlyuchenkova A.Mertens E. (16)0 : 2
    5Noskova L. (9)Joint M.2 : 0
    6Siegemund L.Gracheva V. (Q)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M.Sonmez Z. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByePaolini J. (6)
    9Anisimova A. (3)Bye
    10Sierra S. (LL)Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    11Eala A.Valentova T. (Q)0 : 2
    12Cristian J.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    13Navarro E. (12)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Kalinskaya A.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    15Yastremska D.Bucsa C.2 : 1
    16ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Zakharova A. (Q)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    19Raducanu E. (RET.)Osorio C. (Q)1 : 1
    20Siniakova K.Tauson C. (11)2 : 0
    21Samsonova L. (13)Frech M. (LL)1 : 2
    22Li A.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    23Cocciaretto E. (LL)Jacquemot E. (WC)2 : 0
    24ByeGauff C. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Kartal S. (Q)Linette M.1 : 2
    27Stearns P. (WC)Zvonareva V. (Q)1 : 2
    28Bouzkova M.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    29Shnaider D. (15)Parks A. (Q)1 : 2
    30Zheng Q.Kenin S.2 : 1
    31Wang Xin.Arango E.2 : 0
    32ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Tjen J.2 : 0
    2Kasatkina D.Mertens E. (16)2 : 0
    3Noskova L. (9)Gracheva V.1 : 2
    4Sakkari M.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    5Anisimova A. (RET.) (3)Pliskova Ka.1 : 1
    6Valentova T.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (12)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Svitolina E. (7)0 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    10Osorio C.Siniakova K.2 : 1
    11Frech M.Li A.0 : 2
    12Cocciaretto E.Gauff C. (4)2 : 0
    13Andreeva M. (5)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Zvonareva V.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    15Parks A.Zheng Q.1 : 2
    16Wang Xin.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    2Gracheva V.Sakkari M.0 : 2
    3Pliskova Ka. (RET.)Muchova K. (14)0 : 0
    4Kalinskaya A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    5Ostapenko J.Osorio C.2 : 0
    6Li A.Cocciaretto E.1 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Mboko V. (10)1 : 2
    8Zheng Q.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Sakkari M.1 : 2
    2Muchova K. (14)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    3Ostapenko J.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    4Mboko V. (10)Rybakina E. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sakkari M.Muchova K. (14)1 : 2
    2Ostapenko J.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2

    Final
    1Muchova K. (14)Mboko V. (10)2 : 0