Karolina Muchova vs Cori Gauff – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandDAZN
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenDAZN
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
63%70%
1st serve points won
66% (41/62)63% (38/60)
2nd serve points won
57% (21/37)50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved
12/152/7
1st return points won
37% (22/60)34% (21/62)
2nd return points won
50% (13/26)43% (16/37)
Break Points Converted
5/73/15
Service Points Won
63% (62/99)59% (50/85)
Return Points Won
41% (35/85)37% (37/99)
Total Points Won
53% (97/184)47% (87/184)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (12/15)67% (10/15)
Return games won
33% (5/15)20% (3/15)
Total games won
57% (17/30)43% (13/30)

Chances of winning


Karolina Muchova
28.8%
Cori Gauff
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Muchova's form might have worsened.
  • Cori Gauff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cori Gauff's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Muchova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cori Gauff, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Karolina Muchova - Cori Gauff Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.59)

    1.35
    (1.5)
    4.2%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Karolina Muchova - Cori Gauff?
  • Users Predictions: Cori Gauff will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muchova is ranked WTA: 12. Gauff is ranked WTA: 3.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 0.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Gauff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gauff might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Gauff will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karolina Muchova - Cori Gauff were as follows:
    26.03.2026 Cori Gauff - Karolina Muchova 2:0
    25.01.2026 Cori Gauff - Karolina Muchova 2:1
    04.01.2025 Cori Gauff - Karolina Muchova 2:0
    06.10.2024 Karolina Muchova - Cori Gauff 0:2
    07.09.2023 Cori Gauff - Karolina Muchova 1:0
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Latest results of Cori Gauff
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Korpatsch T. (WC)Shnaider D.0 : 2
    3Eala A.Fernandez L.0 : 2
    4Sonmez Z. (Q)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (3)Bye
    6Siegemund L.Tomova V. (LL)2 : 1
    7Parks A. (Q)Noha Akugue N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Ostapenko J.Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Knutson G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Zhang S.Noskova L.1 : 2
    11Lys E.Badosa P. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeSvitolina E. (4)
    13Muchova K. (7)Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Mertens E.Seidel E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Ruzic A.Samsonova L.0 : 2
    16ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Shnaider D.2 : 0
    2Fernandez L.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    3Swiatek I. (3)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    4Parks A.Andreeva M. (6)0 : 2
    5Alexandrova E. (8)Noskova L.0 : 2
    6Lys E.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    7Muchova K. (7)Mertens E.2 : 1
    8Samsonova L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Fernandez L.2 : 1
    2Swiatek I. (3)Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    3Noskova L.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    4Muchova K. (7)Gauff C. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Andreeva M. (6)2 : 0
    2Svitolina E. (4)Muchova K. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rybakina E. (1)Muchova K. (7)2 : 0