Annecy vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.46
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
183
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
76% (320/419)70% (253/363)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.89
Total shots
183
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3111
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1320
Passes
76% (320/419)70% (253/363)
Long passes
34% (14/41)37% (33/90)
Passes in final third
65% (96/148)42% (33/78)
Crosses
38% (8/21)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.47
Throw-ins
2031
Fouls
2013
Tackles
83% (10/12)59% (10/17)
Duels won
6563
Clearances
3034
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.890.82
Goals prevented
0.89-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Meynadier T. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Lajugie F. , Billemaz C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Casadei A. , Venot P. ,
  • 56', Roncaglia A. 🟥,
  • 57', Guidi D. 🟨,
  • 59', Guevara J. , Zilliox N. ,
  • 70', Vincent C. , Zaouai A. ,
  • 70', Karamoko I. , Petrignani M. ,
  • 75', Larose A. 🟨,
  • 77', Tomi F. , Ble M. ,
  • 77', Larose A. , Paris Q. ,
  • 77', Sebas J. , Aiki A. ,
  • 90+4', Drouhin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Annecy
37.6%
Draw
32.8%
Bastia
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 31.2% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 30.8% 29.9%

Annecy - Bastia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.48
(2.43)
2.89
(2.99)
3.2
(3.08)
6.3%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Annecy - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Annecy will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Annecy: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 1.
    • In recent matches, Annecy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bastia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Annecy could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Annecy: Escales F. (Inactive) Jusseron-Veniere K. (Ankle Injury) Makutungu C. (Inactive) N'Sakala F. (Inactive) Pajot V. (Inactive) Veillon M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Knee Injury) Boutrah A. (Injury) Ducrocq T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Annecy: Toure B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bastia: Bathily Y. (Injury) Djedje D. (Injury) Meynadier T. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Annecy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Annecy - Bastia were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:1
    27.09.2024 Bastia - Annecy 2:2
    27.04.2024 Annecy - Bastia 3:2
    07.10.2023 Bastia - Annecy 2:1
    15.04.2023 Bastia - Annecy 3:0
    Latest results of Annecy
    14.11.2025 Cannes - Annecy 1:2
    07.11.2025 Montpellier - Annecy 1:0
    31.10.2025 Annecy - Boulogne 1:1
    28.10.2025 Rodez - Annecy 2:1
    25.10.2025 Annecy - Saint-Étienne 4:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    07.11.2025 Bastia - Reims 1:3
    31.10.2025 Bastia - Clermont 1:0
    28.10.2025 Nancy - Bastia 2:0
    17.10.2025 Troyes - Bastia 1:0
    03.10.2025 Bastia - Dunkerque 0:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National