Annecy vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.46
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
183
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
76% (320/419)70% (253/363)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.89
Total shots
183
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3111
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1320
Passes
76% (320/419)70% (253/363)
Long passes
34% (14/41)37% (33/90)
Passes in final third
65% (96/148)42% (33/78)
Crosses
38% (8/21)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.47
Throw-ins
2031
Fouls
2013
Tackles
83% (10/12)59% (10/17)
Duels won
6563
Clearances
3034
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.890.82
Goals prevented
0.89-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Meynadier T. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Lajugie F. , Billemaz C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Casadei A. , Venot P. ,
  • 56', Roncaglia A. 🟥,
  • 57', Guidi D. 🟨,
  • 59', Guevara J. , Zilliox N. ,
  • 70', Vincent C. , Zaouai A. ,
  • 70', Karamoko I. , Petrignani M. ,
  • 75', Larose A. 🟨,
  • 77', Tomi F. , Ble M. ,
  • 77', Larose A. , Paris Q. ,
  • 77', Sebas J. , Aiki A. ,
  • 90+4', Drouhin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Annecy
37.6%
Draw
32.8%
Bastia
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 31.2% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 30.8% 29.9%

Annecy - Bastia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.48
(2.43)
2.89
(2.99)
3.2
(3.08)
6.3%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Annecy - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Annecy will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Annecy: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Annecy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bastia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 1.
    • In recent matches, Annecy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bastia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Annecy could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Annecy: Escales F. (Inactive) Jusseron-Veniere K. (Ankle Injury) Makutungu C. (Inactive) N'Sakala F. (Inactive) Pajot V. (Inactive) Veillon M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Knee Injury) Boutrah A. (Injury) Ducrocq T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Annecy: Toure B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bastia: Bathily Y. (Injury) Djedje D. (Injury) Meynadier T. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Annecy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Annecy - Bastia were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:1
    27.09.2024 Bastia - Annecy 2:2
    27.04.2024 Annecy - Bastia 3:2
    07.10.2023 Bastia - Annecy 2:1
    15.04.2023 Bastia - Annecy 3:0
    Latest results of Annecy
    14.11.2025 Cannes - Annecy 1:2
    07.11.2025 Montpellier - Annecy 1:0
    31.10.2025 Annecy - Boulogne 1:1
    28.10.2025 Rodez - Annecy 2:1
    25.10.2025 Annecy - Saint-Étienne 4:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    07.11.2025 Bastia - Reims 1:3
    31.10.2025 Bastia - Clermont 1:0
    28.10.2025 Nancy - Bastia 2:0
    17.10.2025 Troyes - Bastia 1:0
    03.10.2025 Bastia - Dunkerque 0:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National