Annecy vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.46
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
183
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
76% (320/419)70% (253/363)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.89
Total shots
183
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3111
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1320
Passes
76% (320/419)70% (253/363)
Long passes
34% (14/41)37% (33/90)
Passes in final third
65% (96/148)42% (33/78)
Crosses
38% (8/21)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.47
Throw-ins
2031
Fouls
2013
Tackles
83% (10/12)59% (10/17)
Duels won
6563
Clearances
3034
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.890.82
Goals prevented
0.89-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Meynadier T. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Lajugie F. , Billemaz C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Casadei A. , Venot P. ,
  • 56', Roncaglia A. 🟥,
  • 57', Guidi D. 🟨,
  • 59', Guevara J. , Zilliox N. ,
  • 70', Vincent C. , Zaouai A. ,
  • 70', Karamoko I. , Petrignani M. ,
  • 75', Larose A. 🟨,
  • 77', Tomi F. , Ble M. ,
  • 77', Larose A. , Paris Q. ,
  • 77', Sebas J. , Aiki A. ,
  • 90+4', Drouhin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Annecy
37.6%
Draw
32.8%
Bastia
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 31.2% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 30.8% 29.9%

Annecy - Bastia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.48
(2.43)
2.89
(2.99)
3.2
(3.08)
6.3%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Annecy - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Annecy will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Annecy: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 1.
    • In recent matches, Annecy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bastia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Annecy could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Annecy: Escales F. (Inactive) Jusseron-Veniere K. (Ankle Injury) Makutungu C. (Inactive) N'Sakala F. (Inactive) Pajot V. (Inactive) Veillon M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Knee Injury) Boutrah A. (Injury) Ducrocq T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Annecy: Toure B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bastia: Bathily Y. (Injury) Djedje D. (Injury) Meynadier T. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Annecy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Annecy - Bastia were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:1
    27.09.2024 Bastia - Annecy 2:2
    27.04.2024 Annecy - Bastia 3:2
    07.10.2023 Bastia - Annecy 2:1
    15.04.2023 Bastia - Annecy 3:0
    Latest results of Annecy
    14.11.2025 Cannes - Annecy 1:2
    07.11.2025 Montpellier - Annecy 1:0
    31.10.2025 Annecy - Boulogne 1:1
    28.10.2025 Rodez - Annecy 2:1
    25.10.2025 Annecy - Saint-Étienne 4:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    07.11.2025 Bastia - Reims 1:3
    31.10.2025 Bastia - Clermont 1:0
    28.10.2025 Nancy - Bastia 2:0
    17.10.2025 Troyes - Bastia 1:0
    03.10.2025 Bastia - Dunkerque 0:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes19125233:171641
    2Red Star19105427:161135
    3St Etienne19104536:251134
    4Dunkerque1996435:211433
    5Reims1995535:231232
    6Le Mans1988323:18532
    7Guingamp1985631:30129
    8Pau FC1976627:31-427
    9Annecy1974824:20425
    10Montpellier1974819:20-125
    11Rodez1958622:27-523
    12Clermont1957720:23-322
    13Grenoble1956819:25-621
    14Nancy19631017:26-921
    15Boulogne19541019:29-1019
    16Amiens19531122:30-818
    17Laval19361014:28-1415
    18Bastia19351111:25-1414

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National