Result
1:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (189/280) | 79% (360/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (189/280) | 79% (360/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (22/69) | 52% (48/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (56/102) | 63% (85/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 9% (3/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 67 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 40 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Kashi A. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Paris Q. ⚽, Billemaz C. (A),
- 39', Pajot V. 🟨,
- 45+3', Billemaz C. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Paris Q. ↓, Djoco K. ↑,
- 57', Ganiou I. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Vincent C. ⚽,
- 63', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
- 63', Ble M. ↓, Boutrah A. ↑,
- 74', Larose A. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
- 80', Sebas J. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 84', Vincent C. 🟨,
- 85', Demoncy Y. ↓, Tiendrebeogo J. ↑,
- 89', Cisse L. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Annecy 26.6% | Draw 30.7% | Bastia 42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Annecy - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.53 ↑ (3.34) |
3.05 ↓ (3.07) |
2.2 ↓ (2.26) |
6.5% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Annecy - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Annecy will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Annecy: 35.2% – 84.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Annecy won 1.
- Annecy has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Bastia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bastia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Annecy: Cisse K.
(Inactive)
Dago T.
(Inactive)
Kouadio J.
(Injury)
Lajugie F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lemina N.
(Injury)
Soukouna H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bastia: Etoga L.
(Inactive)
Guevara J.
(Injury)
Mazikou S.
(Injury)
Tomi F.
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Annecy won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Annecy won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Annecy won against Bastia?
Annecy has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Annecy?
Bastia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Annecy - Bastia were as follows:
27.09.2024
Bastia
-
Annecy
2:2
27.04.2024
Annecy
-
Bastia
3:2
07.10.2023
Bastia
-
Annecy
2:1
15.04.2023
Bastia
-
Annecy
3:0
01.10.2022
Annecy
-
Bastia
0:2
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Annecy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National