Result
0:2
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (328/451) | 64% (197/306) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (328/451) | 64% (197/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (27/87) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (48/105) | 49% (50/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 48 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 92% (22/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.75 | 0.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Lajugie F. ⚽,
- 22', Ducrocq T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', Delphis T. 🟨,
- 37', Ariss Z. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 2, Rambaud T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Meynadier T. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 56', Boutrah A. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
- 64', Rambaud T. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 64', Delphis T. ↓, Rowe T. ↑,
- 68', Ducrocq T. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
- 68', Merghem M. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
- 69', Casadei A. 🟨,
- 82', Roncaglia A. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 82', Billemaz C. ↓, Makutungu C. ↑,
- 82', Larose A. ↓, Hbouch A. ↑,
- 89', Sebas J. 🟥,
- 90', Escales F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bastia
38.2% | Draw
32.2% | Annecy
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Bastia - Annecy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.53) |
2.91 ↓
(2.99) |
3.15 ↑
(2.85) |
7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Bastia - Annecy?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Annecy will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 1 - 25%). Annecy (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.
- Bastia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Annecy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Bastia: Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Guidi D.
(Inactive)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Zilliox N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Annecy: Koutoune H.
(Inactive)
Pajot V.
(Inactive)
Paris Q.
(Inactive)
Toure B.
(Inactive)
Veillon M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Annecy: Jacob V.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Annecy?
Bastia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Annecy won against Bastia?
Annecy has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Annecy were as follows:
21.11.2025
Annecy
-
Bastia
1:0
04.04.2025
Annecy
-
Bastia
1:1
27.09.2024
Bastia
-
Annecy
2:2
27.04.2024
Annecy
-
Bastia
3:2
07.10.2023
Bastia
-
Annecy
2:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
